Al Naft - Karbalaa prediction 14 September 2026
Al Naft
Karbalaa
Al Gharraf FCAl NaftAl NaftDiyala FCAl MosulAl NaftAl NaftKarbalaaAl KarmaAl NaftAl MinaaAl NaftAl TalabaAl NaftAl NaftDuhokAl Nafit MaysanAl NaftAl NaftAl KarkhAl NaftNewroz SCAl ZawraaAl NaftAl NaftDuhokAl NaftAl MinaaAl Nafit MaysanAl NaftDuhokKarbalaaKarbalaaAl Gharraf FCAl KahrabaaKarbalaaKarbalaaErbil SCAl NaftKarbalaaKarbalaaAl Quwa Al JawiyaKarbalaaAl KarkhAl KarmaKarbalaaAl MosulKarbalaaKarbalaaAl ZawraaAl Shorta BagdadKarbalaaKarbalaaAmanat Baghdad SCAl Masafi SCKarbalaaAl JulanKarbalaaAl HudodKarbalaaAl NaftKarbalaaKarbalaaAl NaftAl NaftKarbalaaKarbalaaAl NaftAl NaftKarbalaa| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Karma | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18:9 | +9 | 24 |
| 2 |  Newroz SC | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 16:4 | +12 | 22 |
| 3 | Al Naft | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 22 |
| 4 |  Al Shorta Bagdad | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 12:5 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Erbil SC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Al Zawraa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:9 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Al Julan | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 17 |
| 8 |  Duhok | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19:15 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Minaa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Ghaz Al Shamal | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Al Talaba | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |  Diyala FC | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Al Mosul | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Zakho | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 |  Al Gharraf FC | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 |  Al Karkh | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 |  Al Kahrabaa | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 |  Al Nafit Maysan | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Karbalaa | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
Al Naft vs Karbalaa Prediction (Sep 14)
The Al Naft vs Karbalaa prediction for this Stars League clash on Sep 14, 2026, at 15:45 points to a home victory. Based on head-to-head dominance and league standings, Al Naft has a 50% win probability, while Karbalaa sits at 20% and the draw at 30%.
Team Form
Al Naft come into this match with mixed recent results: L, W, D, D, D in their last five outings. They suffered a 3-0 away loss to Al Karma on Sep 09 but bounced back with a 3-0 win at Al Minaa. Three consecutive draws followed against Al Talaba (0-0), Duhok (1-1 at home), and Al Nafit Maysan (0-0).
Karbalaa's form is more concerning: L, W, L, L, D. They lost 2-3 at home to Al Quwa Al Jawiya, edged Al Karkh 1-0 at home, then fell 0-2 at Al Karma and 0-3 at Al Mosul. Their most recent match was a 1-1 home draw with leaders Al Zawraa, which might offer some confidence.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record is one-sided. In four previous meetings, Al Naft have won all four, with no draws. The most recent encounter on Jun 27, 2025, saw Al Naft win 4-2 away at Karbalaa. Earlier, they won 1-0 at home (Feb 2025), 2-0 away (Dec 2023), and 1-0 at home (Feb 2023). Karbalaa have never beaten Al Naft.
League Table Positions
In the Stars League standings, Al Naft sit 5th with 9 points from 6 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 6 and conceded 4. Karbalaa are outside the top 12, indicating a lower position. Al Naft's away form is notably 3rd best in the league (5 points from 4 away games), but their home form has been less impressive, not featuring in the top 8 home standings.
Win Probability: Al Naft or Karbalaa?
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Al Naft 50%, draw 30%, Karbalaa 20%. The bookmakers' odds (home 2.30, draw 2.05, away 5.50) imply a tighter contest, but the historical head-to-head and league gap justify a stronger favorite status for the home side. Al Naft's tendency to draw (three in last five) keeps the draw probability significant, while Karbalaa's poor away form and H2H record limit their chances.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer odds around 2.30 for an Al Naft win, 2.05 for the draw, and 5.50 for a Karbalaa victory. These odds suggest the draw is the most likely single outcome, but our analysis, factoring in the perfect H2H record and league positions, leans towards a home win. Our Al Naft vs Karbalaa prediction is a home victory, with under 2.5 total goals a possibility given Al Naft's low-scoring recent matches.
Al Naft vs Karbalaa โ FAQ
- Who will win Al Naft vs Karbalaa?
- Based on our analysis, Al Naft has a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Karbalaa has a 20% chance. Al Naft are the favorites.
- What is the win probability for Al Naft?
- Al Naft has a 50% win probability. This is driven by their perfect head-to-head record (4 wins in 4 matches) and superior league position (5th vs Karbalaa outside top 12).
- When is the Al Naft vs Karbalaa match?
- The match is on Sep 14, 2026, at 15:45 local time. It is a Stars League fixture in Iraq.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds from bookmakers show Al Naft win at 2.30, draw at 2.05, and Karbalaa win at 5.50. These odds imply a close contest, with the draw slightly favored.
- What is the head-to-head record between Al Naft and Karbalaa?
- Al Naft have won all four previous meetings, with no draws. The last match ended 4-2 to Al Naft away.