Kariobangi Sharks - Mombasa United prediction 6 October 2026
Kariobangi Sharks
Mombasa UnitedKariobangi SharksMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedKariobangi SharksKariobangi Sharks
SofapakaKenya Police FCKariobangi SharksKariobangi SharksKakamega HomeboyzKariobangi SharksNairobi UnitedBidco UnitedKariobangi SharksKariobangi SharksMuranga SealKariobangi SharksMara SugarTuskerKariobangi SharksGor MahiaKariobangi SharksAFC Leopards SCKariobangi SharksKariobangi SharksPosta RangersShabana FCKariobangi SharksKariobangi SharksTuskerMara SugarMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedKakamega HomeboyzKariobangi SharksMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedKariobangi SharksNaivasMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedNzoia Sugar FCLuanda VillaMombasa UnitedMombasa United3K FCMombasa UnitedNairobi City StarsMombasa UnitedMigori YouthMombasa UnitedSoy United FCKibera Black StarsMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedVihiga United Mulembe UtdMombasa UnitedMCF Mully Children FamilyMombasa UnitedKabati Youth FCKariobangi SharksMombasa UnitedMombasa UnitedKariobangi Sharks| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gor Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |  3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  AFC Leopards SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 5 |  Shabana FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 |  Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Kenya Commercial Bank | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Muranga Seal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 |  Kenya Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 |  Bandari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Aps Bomet FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 |  Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Kariobangi Sharks vs Mombasa United Prediction (Oct 6)
Kariobangi Sharks vs Mombasa United prediction for the Premier League match on Oct 6, 2026, at 13:00. Based on the latest form and head-to-head data, Kariobangi Sharks enter this fixture as the favorite with a 50% win probability, while Mombasa United have a 17% chance and the draw stands at 33%.
Team Form
Kariobangi Sharks come into this match with a mixed run of results: L, W, D, D, W in their last five outings. Their most recent game was a 2-1 away defeat to Mombasa United on Oct 1, but they responded impressively before that with a 6-0 home thrashing of Sofapaka. Other recent results include a 1-1 draw at Kenya Police FC, a 2-2 home draw with Kakamega Homeboyz, and a 2-0 home win over Nairobi United. The Sharks have shown they can score heavily at home, netting eight goals in their last two home fixtures.
Mombasa United have posted W, D, W, L, D across their last five matches. They beat Kariobangi Sharks 2-1 at home on Oct 1, drew 1-1 away to Naivas, beat Nzoia Sugar FC 1-0 at home, lost 1-0 away to Luanda Villa, and drew 0-0 at home with 3K FC. Away from home, their form is less convincing with a draw and a loss in their last two road trips, failing to score in the defeat at Luanda Villa.
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met just once before, with Mombasa United claiming a 2-1 home victory on Oct 1, 2026, in the Premier League. That result gives Mombasa United a psychological edge, but the small sample size and the change of venue make it difficult to draw firm conclusions.
Win Probability: Kariobangi Sharks or Mombasa United?
After analyzing the available data, we assign the following outcome probabilities:
- Kariobangi Sharks win: 50%
- Draw: 33%
- Mombasa United win: 17%
These percentages are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 1.91, draw 2.00, away 4.50), adjusted for recent form and the home advantage. Kariobangi Sharksโ strong home scoring record and Mombasa Unitedโs less consistent away performances tilt the balance in favor of the hosts, despite the recent head-to-head loss.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds for this fixture are 1.91 for a Kariobangi Sharks win, 2.00 for the draw, and 4.50 for a Mombasa United victory. Bookmakers clearly see Kariobangi Sharks as the more likely winner. Taking into account the form and H2H data, our prediction leans towards a home win, but the draw cannot be ruled out given the even nature of some recent results for both sides. A 2-1 scoreline in favor of Kariobangi Sharks would be a plausible outcome based on the stats.
Kariobangi Sharks vs Mombasa United โ FAQ
- Who will win Kariobangi Sharks vs Mombasa United?
- Kariobangi Sharks have a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Mombasa United have a 17% chance. The hosts are favorites thanks to their strong home form and Mombasa United's less reliable away performances.
- What is the win probability for Kariobangi Sharks?
- Kariobangi Sharks have a 50% probability of winning this match. This is based on bookmaker odds of 1.91, adjusted for their recent home scoring form and Mombasa United's away struggles.
- When is the Kariobangi Sharks vs Mombasa United match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 6, 2026, at 13:00 local time. It is a Premier League fixture in Kenya.
- What are the odds for Kariobangi Sharks vs Mombasa United?
- The odds are 1.91 for a Kariobangi Sharks win, 2.00 for a draw, and 4.50 for a Mombasa United victory. These odds imply the hosts are the clear favorites.
- What is the head-to-head record between Kariobangi Sharks and Mombasa United?
- The teams have met once, on Oct 1, 2026, when Mombasa United won 2-1 at home. This is the only previous encounter between the two sides.