Kepez Spor Futbol AS - Karsiyaka prediction 3 October 2026

The Kepez Spor Futbol AS vs Karsiyaka prediction for this 3 Lig match on October 3, 2026, at 13:00 local time sees Karsiyaka as the favorite with a 38% win probability, while the home side has a 28% chance and the draw stands at 34%.

Team Form

Kepez Spor Futbol AS's last five results:

• Sep 16: Karaman Belediyespor 2-3 Kepez Spor Futbol AS (Cup) - W
• Sep 6: Kepez Spor Futbol AS 0-2 Anadolu Universitesi (3 Lig) - L
• Apr 25: Batman Petrolspor 6-0 Kepez Spor Futbol AS (2 Lig) - L
• Apr 19: Kepez Spor Futbol AS 2-4 Altinordu (2 Lig) - L
• Apr 12: Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 1-0 Kepez Spor Futbol AS (2 Lig) - L

Their only win in this run came in a cup match, and they have lost four consecutive league games, conceding 15 goals while scoring just 5 across these five matches.

Karsiyaka's last five results:

• Sep 26: Karsiyaka 0-1 Gaziemirspor (3 Lig) - L
• Sep 19: Bursa Yildirim Spor 2-2 Karsiyaka (3 Lig) - D
• Sep 12: Karsiyaka 1-1 Altay Izmir (3 Lig) - D
• Sep 6: Etimesgut Belediyespor 1-0 Karsiyaka (3 Lig) - L
• Apr 28: Karsiyaka 0-2 Ayvalikgucu Belediyespor (3 Lig) - L

Karsiyaka are without a win in five, with two draws and three defeats. They have scored only 3 goals in that period, highlighting their attacking struggles.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Kepez Spor Futbol AS and Karsiyaka. This will be their first meeting, so past results cannot inform the prediction.

Win Probability: Kepez Spor Futbol AS or Karsiyaka?

Based on the available odds and the teams' recent form, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Kepez Spor Futbol AS win: 28%
• Draw: 34%
• Karsiyaka win: 38%

The bookmakers' odds, when normalized, give Karsiyaka a slight edge, and their marginally better form (two draws vs one win in a cup) supports that. However, both teams are in poor shape, making a draw a very realistic outcome. Home advantage for Kepez Spor Futbol AS is factored in, but it is not enough to make them favorites.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds from bookmakers are: home win 3.60, draw 2.10, away win 1.78. These odds clearly show Karsiyaka as the favorite to win. The low odds on the away side reflect the market's expectation that Karsiyaka have a better chance, despite their recent struggles.

Our prediction: Karsiyaka is the most likely winner with a 38% probability, but a draw is almost as likely at 34%. Kepez Spor Futbol AS, with a 28% chance, could cause an upset, especially at home. Given the lack of head-to-head data and both teams' inconsistent form, this match is hard to call with certainty. A low-scoring draw or a narrow away win are the most probable outcomes.