Yalova Yesilovaspor - Kartal Bulvarspor prediction 3 October 2026

Yalova Yesilovaspor vs Kartal Bulvarspor prediction for the 3 Lig match on October 3, 2026. Based on our analysis of team form, head-to-head record, and bookmaker odds, Yalova Yesilovaspor has a 40% chance of winning, while the draw and an away win both sit at 30%.

Team Form

Yalova Yesilovaspor's last five results across all competitions show one win, two draws, and two losses. They drew 3-3 at home against Golcukspor on September 20, then drew 1-1 away at Galata SK in the Cup on September 16. A 2-1 away win at Beykoz Ishakli SF on September 12 was followed by a 0-3 home defeat to Tokat Belediye Plevnespor on September 6 and a 0-1 loss at Inkilap on April 18. The team has struggled for consistency, scoring in three of those five matches.

Kartal Bulvarspor's recent form is even more concerning: one win and four losses in their last five outings. They beat Silivrispor 1-0 at home on September 27, but lost 0-1 at home to Karadeniz Eregli Belediye Spor on September 12. Earlier in April, they suffered three straight defeats: 0-1 at Etimesgut Belediyespor, 1-4 at home to 1926 Polatli Belediyespor, and 1-2 at Bursa Nilufer FK. The away side has managed just two goals in those five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have met twice in the 3 Lig. Yalova Yesilovaspor won the home fixture 4-1 on November 2, 2025, and the most recent clash on March 7, 2026, ended in a 2-2 draw at Kartal Bulvarspor. Yalova Yesilovaspor remains unbeaten in this head-to-head with one win and one draw, scoring six goals across the two matches.

Yalova Yesilovaspor vs Kartal Bulvarspor Prediction: Win Probability

We calculated the win probability by first taking the average bookmaker odds (home 2.89, draw 2.59, away 2.79), converting them to implied probabilities, and removing the overround. The raw market probabilities were 31.7% for a home win, 35.4% for a draw, and 32.8% for an away win. However, Yalova Yesilovaspor's superior head-to-head record (unbeaten in two meetings) and home advantage, combined with Kartal Bulvarspor's poor recent form (four losses in five), justify an adjustment. Our final assessment gives Yalova Yesilovaspor a 40% chance of winning, the draw a 30% chance, and Kartal Bulvarspor a 30% chance. Yalova Yesilovaspor is the more likely winner, but the match remains open.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a very tight contest. The average odds across several bookmakers are 2.89 for a Yalova Yesilovaspor win, 2.59 for a draw, and 2.79 for a Kartal Bulvarspor victory. The draw is priced as the most probable single outcome. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards a home win for Yalova Yesilovaspor, but with a draw also a strong possibility. The 40% win probability for the home side reflects their historical edge and slightly better form, while the 30% draw chance underlines the competitive nature of this fixture.