AS Ariana - Kasserine prediction 27 October 2026
AS Ariana
Kasserine
US Ksour EssefAS ArianaAS ArianaKalaa SportAS ArianaStade GabesienMoknineAS ArianaAS ArianaEGS GafsaBouchammaAS ArianaAS ArianaCO Sidi BouzidCS KorbaAS ArianaJendouba SportAS ArianaAS ArianaUS Ksour EssefCS RedeyefAS ArianaAS ArianaStade GabesienAS DjelmaAS ArianaAS ArianaPS Sakiet EddayerKasserineAS ArianaKasserineJS KairouanaiseOlympique de MedenineKasserineEGS GafsaKasserineClub Hammam-LifKasserineKasserineUS Ksour EssefKasserineStade GabesienKasserinePS Sakiet EddayerKasserineCS KorbaKalaa SportKasserineKasserineMoknineEGS GafsaKasserineKasserineBouchammaCO Sidi BouzidKasserineKasserineAS ArianaJendouba SportKasserine| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.10 | 2.00 | 3.60 | |
| 2.75 | 1.95 | 3.50 | |
| 17.00 | 1.02 | 3.40 | |
| 16.50 | 1.03 | 3.20 | |
| 2.92 | 2.05 | 3.15 |
KasserineAS ArianaAS ArianaKasserineKasserineAS ArianaAS ArianaKasserine| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kasserine | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 |  Msaken | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | +4 | 11 |
| 3 |  Mahdia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:7 | +3 | 11 |
| 4 |  AS Megrine | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Bouchamma | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 |  CS Korba | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 7 |  AS Slimane | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 8 |
| 8 |  Sporting Ben Arous | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 8 |
| 9 |  US Ksour Essef | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Stade Soussien | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Jendouba Sport | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Chebba | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  US Tataouine | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  CS Redeyef | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Kalaa Sport | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 |  Sfax Railways | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 17 |  JS Kairouanaise | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |  Ariana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 19 |  Stade Gabesien | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 20 |  Bรฉni-Khalled | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 21 |  Bouhajla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 22 |  Olympique du Kef | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |  OC Kerkennah | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 24 |  EGS Gafsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 25 |  Agareb | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 26 |  AS Gabes | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
| 27 |  Moknine | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 1 |
| 28 |  Olympique de Medenine | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
AS Ariana vs Kasserine Prediction (Oct 27)
Looking for an AS Ariana vs Kasserine prediction? This Tunisian League 2 match kicks off on Oct 27, 2026 at 13:30. Based on our analysis, Kasserine enters as the favorite with a 35% win probability, while a draw stands at 40% and AS Ariana has a 25% chance.
Team Form: AS Ariana vs Kasserine
AS Ariana have drawn four of their last five matches, with a single home win against Kalaa Sport (2-0). The other results include 0-0 draws at US Ksour Essef and Moknine, plus 1-1 stalemates against Stade Gabesien and EGS Gafsa. Goals have been scarce, with only three scored in that stretch.
Kasserine, on the other hand, are flying. They've won four of their last five, including impressive away victories at Olympique de Medenine (3-0) and EGS Gafsa (2-1). The solitary loss came at Club Hammam-Lif (0-1), but they bounced back with a 1-0 home win over JS Kairouanaise. With 7 goals in their last five league outings, Kasserine are displaying both solidity and firepower.
Head-to-Head Record
Home advantage has been the defining factor in this fixture. All four previous League 2 meetings have been won by the home side. AS Ariana won 2-1 (Sep 2025) and 1-0 (Oct 2017) at their place, while Kasserine secured 2-0 (Jan 2026) and 3-1 (Jan 2018) on their own turf. No draws have ever been recorded between these two teams in the head-to-head data.
League Table Positions
Kasserine sit top of the Tunisian League 2 table with a perfect 12 points from 4 matches (4 wins, 7 goals scored, just 1 conceded). AS Ariana do not appear in the top 12. The gap in points and position underlines the difference in current quality and confidence between the two squads.
Win Probability: AS Ariana or Kasserine?
Based on bookmaker odds, recent form, head-toโhead patterns, and league standings, our calculated win probabilities are:
- AS Ariana win: 25%
- Draw: 40%
- Kasserine win: 35%
These percentages come from normalising the inverse of the latest odds (which remove the bookmaker margin) and then adjusting for Kasserineโs dominant league start and the historical homeโwin trend. While the headโtoโhead suggests the home side always wins, AS Arianaโs poor form and Kasserineโs commanding position shift the balance. The draw is the single most likely outcome, but Kasserine hold a clear edge over the hosts.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakersโ odds reflect the tight nature of this contest. Across several books, the draw is priced as low as 1.85, a Kasserine away win ranges from 2.35 to 3.10, and an AS Ariana home victory sits between 3.00 and 4.00. These odds imply that the betting market sees a stalemate as the most probable result, with Kasserine slightly preferred over the home side.
Our final AS Ariana vs Kasserine prediction is a cautious lean towards Kasserine based on form and table position, but the smart money is on a draw. Expect a low-scoring, tense affair where Kasserine's quality may eventually tell, yet a point apiece is the safest call.
AS Ariana vs Kasserine โ FAQ
- Who will win AS Ariana vs Kasserine?
- Kasserine have a 35% win probability, AS Ariana sit at 25%, and a draw holds the highest chance at 40%. Therefore, while Kasserine are more likely to win than the hosts, a draw is the single most probable result.
- What is the win probability for Kasserine?
- Kasserine's win probability is 35%. This is driven by their perfect league record (4 wins from 4 matches), top spot in the Tunisian League 2 table, and a run of four wins in their last five outings.
- When is the AS Ariana vs Kasserine match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 27, 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 local time. It is a Tunisian League 2 fixture.
- What are the odds for AS Ariana vs Kasserine?
- Bookmakers are offering varying prices: draw odds go as low as 1.85, a Kasserine away win between 2.35 and 3.10, and an AS Ariana home victory from 3.00 to 4.00. These odds imply a very tight contest.
- What is the head-to-head record between AS Ariana and Kasserine?
- In four previous League 2 meetings, both teams have won twice, with the home side prevailing every single time. The most recent encounter was Kasserine's 2-0 home win in January 2026.