Moldova - Kazakhstan prediction 13 November 2026
Moldova
KazakhstanMoldova
SlovakiaKazakhstanMoldovaMoldovaFaroe IslandsSlovakiaMoldovaArmeniaMoldovaMoldovaBulgariaCyprusMoldovaMoldovaLithuaniaRomaniaMoldovaPolandMoldovaGibraltarMoldovaAndorraMoldovaMaltaMoldovaMoldovaCayman IslandsCayman IslandsMoldovaKazakhstanFaroe IslandsKazakhstanMoldovaSlovakiaKazakhstanFaroe IslandsKazakhstanHungaryKazakhstanArmeniaKazakhstanKazakhstanComorosKazakhstanNamibiaFaroe IslandsKazakhstanBelarusKazakhstanKazakhstanCuracaoNorwayKazakhstanKazakhstanAustriaKazakhstanSloveniaLuxembourgKazakhstan| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 1.92 | 3.45 | |
| 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.13 |
KazakhstanMoldovaKazakhstanMoldovaKazakhstanMoldovaKazakhstanMoldovaMoldovaKazakhstan| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 |  Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 20 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 |  Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 26 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 |
| 28 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 29 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 33 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 34 | Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 36 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 37 |  Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 39 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 42 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 45 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 47 |  Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 48 |  Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
| 51 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Kazakhstan vs Moldova Prediction (Oct 2)
The Kazakhstan vs Moldova prediction for the UEFA Nations League match on October 2, 2026, at Astana Arena points to a tightly contested affair. Kazakhstan enters as the favorite with a 42% win probability, while Moldova has a 20% chance, and the draw is estimated at 38%.
Team Form
Kazakhstanโs recent results (L, D, L, D, W) show a lack of consistency, with only one win in their last five outings. That sole victory came at home against Comoros (1-0) in a friendly on March 31, 2026. Their other matches resulted in defeats to Slovakia (2-1) and Hungary (3-1), plus draws against Faroe Islands (1-1) and Armenia (1-1).
Moldovaโs form is even poorer: D, L, D, D, L, meaning no wins in five matches. They drew with Faroe Islands (1-1), Armenia (1-1) and Bulgaria (2-2), but lost to Slovakia (2-0) and Cyprus (3-2). Both teams have struggled defensively, conceding in almost every recent game.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall head-to-head record shows 2 home wins, 2 away wins, and 0 draws across the last four meetings between Kazakhstan and Moldova. The most emphatic result was Kazakhstan's 6-0 home victory in a September 2022 friendly. Moldova responded with a 1-0 away win in a Nations League clash in March 2022, while Kazakhstan also claimed a 2-1 away win in the same competition that month.
Win Probability: Kazakhstan or Moldova?
Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head balance, and home advantage, the win probabilities are:
- Kazakhstan win: 42%
- Draw: 38%
- Moldova win: 20%
The odds across multiple bookmakers imply a Kazakhstan victory around 40.8%, a draw near 40.0%, and a Moldova win at 19.2%. We have slightly raised Kazakhstan's chance to reflect their home venue and a marginally better recent record, while the high draw percentage mirrors the frequent draws in both teams' recent form and the competitive nature of Nations League encounters.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers show a range of 1X2 odds: Kazakhstan win from 1.80 to 2.25, the draw from 2.02 to 2.18, and a Moldova victory from 4.10 to 4.80. These prices make Kazakhstan the clear favorite, but the short draw odds underline the expectation of a close match.
Taking all stats into account, the most likely outcome is a narrow Kazakhstan win, though a draw cannot be ruled out given both sides' recent scoring difficulties and defensive lapses. The prediction leans in favor of Kazakhstan's home advantage, but bettors should approach with caution.
Kazakhstan vs Moldova โ FAQ
- Who will win Kazakhstan vs Moldova?
- Kazakhstan has the highest probability of winning at 42%, followed by a 38% chance of a draw and a 20% chance for Moldova. The numbers suggest Kazakhstan is the most likely winner, but the match remains open.
- What is the win probability for Kazakhstan?
- Kazakhstanโs win probability is 42%. This is based on bookmaker odds that imply approximately 40.8% for a home win, adjusted upward slightly for home advantage and a marginally better recent form than Moldova.
- When is the Kazakhstan vs Moldova match?
- The match is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 15:00 local time (UTC+1). It will be played at Astana Arena in Astana as part of the UEFA Nations League.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer Kazakhstan win odds between 1.80 and 2.25, draw odds from 2.02 to 2.18, and Moldova win odds ranging from 4.10 to 4.80. The exact odds vary by operator.
- What is the head-to-head record between Kazakhstan and Moldova?
- In their last four meetings, the home team has won twice and the away team has won twice, with no draws. Kazakhstanโs biggest win was a 6-0 friendly victory in 2022, while Moldova secured a 1-0 away win in a Nations League match the same year.