| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 | |
| 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 | |
| 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 | |
| 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 | |
| 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 | |
| 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 | |
| 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 | |
| 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 | |
| 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 | |
| 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | |
| 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 | |
| 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 | |
| 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 | |
| 27 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 | |
| 29 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 | |
| 30 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 | |
| 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 | |
| 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | |
| 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 | |
| 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 | |
| 35 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 | |
| 36 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 37 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 | |
| 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 | |
| 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 | |
| 40 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 | |
| 41 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 42 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 | |
| 43 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 | |
| 44 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 | |
| 45 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 | |
| 46 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | |
| 47 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | |
| 48 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 | |
| 49 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 | |
| 50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 | |
| 51 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 | |
| 52 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | |
| 53 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 | |
| 54 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
The Slovakia vs Kazakhstan prediction for this UEFA Nations League match on Sep 29, 2026, at 19:45 points to a clear home favorite. Slovakia has a 76% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 16% and Kazakhstan's win probability is just 8%. The match takes place at Koลกickรก futbalovรก arรฉna in Trnava, with referee Patrik Kolaric officiating.
Slovakia's recent home form is strong. In their last five home matches, they recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss. They beat Moldova 2-0 in the Nations League on Sep 26, drew 2-2 with Montenegro in a friendly, and secured victories over Malta (2-1) and Romania (2-0). The only setback was a narrow 4-3 loss to Kosovo in a World Cup qualifier.
Kazakhstan's away form is mixed. Their last five away games produced two wins, two draws, and one defeat. They drew 1-1 at Faroe Islands in the Nations League on Sep 26, lost 3-1 at Hungary, and drew 1-1 at Armenia. Earlier in 2026, they beat Comoros 1-0 and Namibia 2-0 in friendlies.
The head-to-head record between these teams is perfectly balanced: one win each and one draw in three meetings. Kazakhstan won 2-1 at home in a Nations League match in June 2022, while Slovakia won 6-0 away in a friendly in 2018. The most recent encounter on Slovak soil ended 1-1 in June 2022. This history suggests a competitive fixture, though current form heavily favors the hosts.
In the current UEFA Nations League standings, Slovakia have played one home match, winning 2-0 against Moldova to sit with 3 points and a perfect home record. Kazakhstan's only away league match so far ended in a 1-1 draw at Faroe Islands. While both teams are in different groups, Slovakia's home dominance gives them a clear edge in this matchup.
Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, the win probabilities are: Slovakia 76%, draw 16%, Kazakhstan 8%. Bookmakers' odds imply a 76% chance for a home win, and we adjusted only slightly after reviewing Slovakia's strong home performances and Kazakhstan's inconsistent away results. The H2H is even, but Slovakia's quality at home and the odds consensus make them the clear favorite.
The best available odds for this match are 1.29 for a Slovakia win, 6.00 for the draw, and 13.50 for a Kazakhstan victory. Bookmakers see Slovakia as the overwhelming favorite, and the stats support that view. Our Slovakia vs Kazakhstan prediction is a home win, with the most likely correct score being 2-0 or 2-1. Kazakhstan may struggle to break down a solid Slovak defense that kept a clean sheet in their last home league game.