Kazakhstan - Slovakia prediction 16 November 2026

Europe ยท UEFA Nations LeagueNot started
Kazakhstan
VS
Slovakia
Match Info
CompetitionUEFA Nations League ยท Europe
Start date
Kick-off
VenueAstana Arena, Astana
Capacity30,000
Surfacegrass
Recent Form
Kazakhstan
D
L
L
D
L
Slovakia
W
D
W
W
D
Recent matches ยท Kazakhstan
UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan
Faroe Islands
22
D
UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan
Moldova
12
L
UEFA Nations League
Slovakia
Kazakhstan
21
L
UEFA Nations League
Faroe Islands
Kazakhstan
11
D
Friendly International
Hungary
Kazakhstan
31
L
Friendly International
Armenia
Kazakhstan
11
D
Friendly International
Kazakhstan
Comoros
10
W
Friendly International
Kazakhstan
Namibia
20
W
Friendly International
Faroe Islands
Kazakhstan
10
L
Friendly International
Belarus
Kazakhstan
41
L
Friendly International
Kazakhstan
Curacao
20
W
UEFA Nations League
Norway
Kazakhstan
50
L
UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan
Austria
02
L
UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan
Slovenia
01
L
Friendly International
Luxembourg
Kazakhstan
21
L
Recent matches ยท Slovakia
UEFA Nations League
Moldova
Slovakia
04
W
UEFA Nations League
Faroe Islands
Slovakia
11
D
UEFA Nations League
Slovakia
Kazakhstan
21
W
UEFA Nations League
Slovakia
Moldova
20
W
Friendly International
Slovakia
Montenegro
22
D
Friendly International
Slovakia
Malta
21
W
Friendly International
Slovakia
Romania
20
W
World Cup Qualification Play Off
Slovakia
Kosovo
34
L
Friendly International
Israel
Slovakia
10
L
Friendly International
Greece
Slovakia
41
L
UEFA Nations League
Slovenia
Slovakia
00
D
UEFA Nations League
Slovakia
Slovenia
00
D
UEFA Nations League
Slovakia
Estonia
10
W
UEFA Nations League
Sweden
Slovakia
21
L
UEFA Nations League
Azerbaijan
Slovakia
13
W
Head-to-Head ยท summary
1
Kazakhstan
1
Draws
2
Slovakia
Previous meetings
UEFA Nations League
Slovakia
Kazakhstan
21
UEFA Nations League
Kazakhstan
Slovakia
21
UEFA Nations League
Slovakia
Kazakhstan
11
Friendly Clubs
Kazakhstan
Slovakia
06
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Portugal44009:4+512
2Montenegro43107:4+310
3France43107:2+510
4Sweden43107:3+410
5Switzerland33008:1+79
6Spain330010:4+69
7Netherlands42207:5+28
8Northern Ireland42204:0+48
9Austria42209:5+48
10Bosnia-Herzegovina42206:3+38
11Greece42205:3+28
12Finland32109:1+87
13Malta32104:2+27
14Iceland32107:1+67
15Slovakia32105:2+37
16Cyprus42115:3+27
17Italy42118:5+37
18Hungary42113:2+17
19England320111:3+86
20Denmark42027:706
21Albania32016:2+46
22Belgium42026:5+16
23Azerbaijan31202:1+15
24Estonia31202:1+15
25Kosovo41213:4-15
26Germany41213:2+15
27Ireland41216:4+25
28Slovenia31113:2+14
29Lithuania31113:2+14
30Faroe Islands40405:504
31Armenia41124:5-14
32Belarus31114:2+24
33Scotland31112:3-14
34Moldova31113:4-14
35Poland41127:4+34
36Ukraine41122:5-34
37Luxembourg31022:5-33
38Croatia31023:12-93
39Wales41032:5-33
40Norway41036:8-23
41Gibraltar20201:102
42Kazakhstan40225:7-22
43Georgia40220:2-22
44Israel40222:7-52
45Liechtenstein20110:2-21
46Andorra30121:3-21
47Latvia40132:6-41
48Bulgaria30121:5-41
49North Macedonia30030:7-70
50San Marino30030:14-140
51Serbia40043:8-50
52Czech Republic30032:7-50
53Romania40043:13-100
54Turkey40042:11-90
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan Prediction (Sep 29)

The Slovakia vs Kazakhstan prediction for this UEFA Nations League match on Sep 29, 2026, at 19:45 points to a clear home favorite. Slovakia has a 76% chance of winning, while the draw sits at 16% and Kazakhstan's win probability is just 8%. The match takes place at Koลกickรก futbalovรก arรฉna in Trnava, with referee Patrik Kolaric officiating.

Team Form

Slovakia's recent home form is strong. In their last five home matches, they recorded three wins, one draw, and one loss. They beat Moldova 2-0 in the Nations League on Sep 26, drew 2-2 with Montenegro in a friendly, and secured victories over Malta (2-1) and Romania (2-0). The only setback was a narrow 4-3 loss to Kosovo in a World Cup qualifier.

Kazakhstan's away form is mixed. Their last five away games produced two wins, two draws, and one defeat. They drew 1-1 at Faroe Islands in the Nations League on Sep 26, lost 3-1 at Hungary, and drew 1-1 at Armenia. Earlier in 2026, they beat Comoros 1-0 and Namibia 2-0 in friendlies.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams is perfectly balanced: one win each and one draw in three meetings. Kazakhstan won 2-1 at home in a Nations League match in June 2022, while Slovakia won 6-0 away in a friendly in 2018. The most recent encounter on Slovak soil ended 1-1 in June 2022. This history suggests a competitive fixture, though current form heavily favors the hosts.

League Table Positions

In the current UEFA Nations League standings, Slovakia have played one home match, winning 2-0 against Moldova to sit with 3 points and a perfect home record. Kazakhstan's only away league match so far ended in a 1-1 draw at Faroe Islands. While both teams are in different groups, Slovakia's home dominance gives them a clear edge in this matchup.

Win Probability: Slovakia or Kazakhstan?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, the win probabilities are: Slovakia 76%, draw 16%, Kazakhstan 8%. Bookmakers' odds imply a 76% chance for a home win, and we adjusted only slightly after reviewing Slovakia's strong home performances and Kazakhstan's inconsistent away results. The H2H is even, but Slovakia's quality at home and the odds consensus make them the clear favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are 1.29 for a Slovakia win, 6.00 for the draw, and 13.50 for a Kazakhstan victory. Bookmakers see Slovakia as the overwhelming favorite, and the stats support that view. Our Slovakia vs Kazakhstan prediction is a home win, with the most likely correct score being 2-0 or 2-1. Kazakhstan may struggle to break down a solid Slovak defense that kept a clean sheet in their last home league game.

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan โ€” FAQ

Who will win Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
Slovakia are the strong favorites with a 76% win probability, compared to just 8% for Kazakhstan and a 16% chance of a draw. Based on odds, home form, and league standings, Slovakia are expected to secure the victory.
What is the win probability for Slovakia?
Slovakia have a 76% chance of winning this match. This is derived from bookmakers' odds (1.29 for a home win), adjusted for their excellent recent home record and Kazakhstan's mixed away form.
When is the Slovakia vs Kazakhstan match?
The match kicks off on Sep 29, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It is a UEFA Nations League fixture held at Koลกickรก futbalovรก arรฉna in Trnava.
What are the odds for the match?
The current odds are 1.29 for a Slovakia win, 6.00 for a draw, and 13.50 for a Kazakhstan win. These odds reflect Slovakia's status as the clear favorite.
Kazakhstan โ€“ Slovakia ยท match page