Essendon Royals Sc - Keilor Park prediction 11 September 2026
Essendon Royals Sc
Keilor Park
Bayside ArgonautsEssendon Royals ScEssendon Royals ScKeilor ParkMoreland CityEssendon Royals ScEssendon Royals ScKeilor ParkEastern LionsEssendon Royals ScEssendon Royals ScAltona CityEssendon Royals ScKingston CityEssendon Royals ScBox Hill UnitedBayside ArgonautsEssendon Royals ScEssendon Royals ScWerribee CityMalvern CityEssendon Royals ScEssendon Royals ScSpringvale White EaglesGoulburn Valley SunsEssendon Royals ScEssendon Royals ScNunawadingEssendon Royals ScMoreland CityEssendon Royals ScKeilor ParkKeilor ParkAltona CityEssendon Royals ScKeilor ParkKeilor ParkWhittlesea UnitedBox Hill UnitedKeilor ParkKeilor ParkBayside ArgonautsWerribee CityKeilor ParkKeilor ParkMalvern CitySpringvale White EaglesKeilor ParkKeilor ParkMoreland CityKeilor ParkGoulburn Valley SunsNunawadingKeilor ParkKeilor ParkMoreland CityKeilor ParkKingston CityKeilor ParkEastern LionsEssendon Royals ScKeilor ParkEssendon Royals ScKeilor ParkKeilor ParkEssendon Royals Sc| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Malvern City | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 66:33 | +33 | 56 |
| 2 |  Goulburn Valley Suns | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 59:35 | +24 | 55 |
| 3 |  Bayside Argonauts | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 47:32 | +15 | 50 |
| 4 | Essendon Royals Sc | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 63:42 | +21 | 48 |
| 5 | Keilor Park | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 39:37 | +2 | 44 |
| 6 |  Box Hill United | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37:32 | +5 | 40 |
| 7 |  Whittlesea United | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 49:31 | +18 | 38 |
| 8 |  Springvale White Eagles | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32:46 | -14 | 32 |
| 9 |  Eastern Lions | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 43:43 | 0 | 30 |
| 10 |  Kingston City | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 37:55 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |  Nunawading | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
| 12 |  Werribee City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 24 |
| 13 |  Altona City | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 25:44 | -19 | 17 |
| 14 |  Moreland City | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 34:73 | -39 | 14 |
Essendon Royals Sc vs Keilor Park Prediction (Sep 11)
The Essendon Royals Sc vs Keilor Park prediction for the Victoria Premier League 2 match on September 11, 2026, points to a tight contest. Our analysis gives Essendon Royals Sc a 38% chance of winning, a draw 32%, and Keilor Park a 30% chance.
Team Form
Essendon Royals Sc come into this match with a mixed but improving run: D, L, W, W, W in their last five. They drew 2-2 at Moreland City, lost 1-4 at home to Keilor Park, then beat Eastern Lions 3-1, Altona City 3-2, and Kingston City 4-2. The attack has been firing, with 13 goals in those five games.
Keilor Park's recent form reads W, W, D, W, L. They defeated Altona City 2-1, thrashed Essendon Royals Sc 4-1 away, drew 3-3 with Whittlesea United, won 1-0 at Box Hill United, and lost 0-1 at home to Bayside Argonauts. That 4-1 victory over today's opponents will give them confidence.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record strongly favours Keilor Park. In two previous meetings, Keilor Park have won both, with Essendon Royals Sc yet to register a win or draw. The most recent clash was on August 21, 2026, when Keilor Park won 4-1 at Essendon Royals Sc. The earlier encounter on May 8, 2026, ended 1-0 to Keilor Park at home.
League Table Positions
Essendon Royals Sc sit 4th in the Victoria Premier League 2 table with 48 points from 26 matches (15 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses). Keilor Park are 5th with 44 points (14 wins, 2 draws, 10 losses). At home, Essendon Royals Sc are strong: 2nd in the home standings with 9 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 40 goals. Keilor Park's away form is less convincing: 6th in the away table with 6 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses.
Win Probability: Essendon Royals Sc or Keilor Park?
Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the win probabilities as follows:
- Essendon Royals Sc win: 38%
- Draw: 32%
- Keilor Park win: 30%
The bookmakers' odds imply a home win probability around 39%, but Keilor Park's perfect H2H record and their 4-1 away win in the last meeting justify a slight adjustment. Essendon Royals Sc's strong home form (9 wins in 13) keeps them as marginal favourites, but the match is too close to call with high confidence.
Odds & Match Prediction
The latest odds for this Victoria Premier League 2 fixture are: home win 2.30, draw 2.75, away win 3.25. Bookmakers see Essendon Royals Sc as the favourite, but the odds also reflect the competitive nature of this matchup. Based on the stats, Essendon Royals Sc are the most likely winner, yet Keilor Park's head-to-head dominance suggests the away win offers value. A draw is a realistic outcome given both teams' recent results.
Essendon Royals Sc vs Keilor Park โ FAQ
- Who will win Essendon Royals Sc vs Keilor Park?
- Essendon Royals Sc have a 38% chance of winning, Keilor Park a 30% chance, and the draw is at 32%. Essendon are slight favourites due to home advantage and a higher league position, but Keilor Park have won both previous head-to-head meetings, including a 4-1 away win in August 2026.
- What is the win probability for Essendon Royals Sc?
- Essendon Royals Sc have a 38% probability of winning this match. This takes into account their strong home record (9 wins in 13 home games) and 4th place in the league, but is tempered by Keilor Park's 100% head-to-head record against them.
- When is the Essendon Royals Sc vs Keilor Park match?
- The match is scheduled for September 11, 2026, at 09:30. It is a Victoria Premier League 2 fixture, the second tier of Australian football in the state of Victoria.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for the 1X2 market are: Essendon Royals Sc win 2.30, draw 2.75, Keilor Park win 3.25. These odds imply Essendon Royals Sc are the favourites, but the match is expected to be competitive.
- What is the head-to-head record between Essendon Royals Sc and Keilor Park?
- Keilor Park have won both previous encounters. They won 1-0 at home in May 2026 and 4-1 away in August 2026. Essendon Royals Sc have yet to earn a point against Keilor Park.