Nairobi United - Kenya Commercial Bank prediction 11 October 2026
Nairobi United
Kenya Commercial BankNairobi United
Aps Bomet FCShabana FCNairobi UnitedNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankNairobi UnitedAps Bomet FCNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankGor MahiaNairobi UnitedNairobi UnitedKenya Police FCNairobi UnitedPosta RangersKariobangi SharksNairobi UnitedNairobi UnitedTuskerNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankMathare UnitedNairobi UnitedMuranga SealNairobi UnitedPosta RangersNairobi UnitedPosta RangersKenya Commercial BankKenya Commercial BankMathare UnitedNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankPosta RangersKenya Commercial BankNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankKenya Commercial BankBandariShabana FCKenya Commercial BankSofapakaKenya Commercial BankKenya Commercial BankPosta RangersTuskerKenya Commercial BankKenya Commercial BankBandariAps Bomet FCKenya Commercial BankNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankKenya Commercial BankKakamega HomeboyzNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial BankKenya Commercial BankNairobi UnitedNairobi UnitedKenya Commercial Bank| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gor Mahia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 9 |
| 2 |  3K FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Mara Sugar | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | +1 | 5 |
| 4 |  AFC Leopards SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 5 |  Shabana FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 |  Kakamega Homeboyz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Kenya Commercial Bank | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |  Muranga Seal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Posta Rangers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 |  Kenya Police FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 14 |  Bandari | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Aps Bomet FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 |  Ulinzi Stars | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 |  Mombasa United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Nairobi United vs Kenya Commercial Bank Prediction (Oct 11)
The Nairobi United vs Kenya Commercial Bank prediction for this Premier League fixture points to a tight, low-scoring contest on Oct 11 at 14:00. Based on recent form and an extensive head-to-head record, Nairobi United hold a 30% win probability, a draw stands at 45%, and Kenya Commercial Bank have a 25% chance. Both sides are yet to play a league match this season, which makes the head-to-head and form data even more crucial.
Team Form
Nairobi United's last five results: D, D, D, W, D. They drew 0-0 with Aps Bomet FC on Sep 11, 0-0 with Kenya Commercial Bank on Sep 2, 0-0 again with the same opponent on Aug 29, won 0-1 away at Gor Mahia on May 31, and drew 0-0 with Kenya Police FC on May 24. The team has kept four clean sheets in that run but scored only once.
Kenya Commercial Bank's last five results: D, D, D, L, W. They drew 0-0 at Posta Rangers on Sep 11, 0-0 at Nairobi United on Sep 2, 0-0 again at Nairobi United on Aug 29, lost 0-2 at home to Bandari in the Cup on Jun 14, and won 1-2 at Shabana FC on May 31. Their scoring output is similarly sparse, with just two goals in the last five outings.
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met six times: Nairobi United won 1, Kenya Commercial Bank won 1, and 4 ended in draws. The last three encounters โ on Sep 2, Aug 29, and Mar 4 โ all finished 0-0, 0-0, and 1-1 respectively. The only away win was Kenya Commercial Bank's 0-1 success in the Cup on May 3, while Nairobi United's lone win came on Jan 15 with a 0-2 away victory.
League Table Positions
As the Premier League season gets underway, Kenya Commercial Bank sit 8th in the overall table with 0 points from 0 matches. Nairobi United are not listed in the current standings, indicating they have also played zero league games. There is no points gap to consider; the table offers no clear advantage to either team.
Win Probability: Nairobi United or Kenya Commercial Bank?
We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Nairobi United win โ 30%, draw โ 45%, Kenya Commercial Bank win โ 25%. This assessment reflects the overwhelming number of draws in the head-to-head series (four in six), the identical 0-0 draws in their two most recent meetings, and the home team's slightly stronger form (one win vs. one loss in the last five). Home advantage nudges Nairobi United ahead of the visitors, but a stalemate is the single most probable result.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture at the time of writing. Based solely on the stats, our Nairobi United vs Kenya Commercial Bank prediction is a draw. Both teams struggle to score and have a history of cancelling each other out, making the 45% draw probability the standout call.
Nairobi United vs Kenya Commercial Bank โ FAQ
- Who will win Nairobi United vs Kenya Commercial Bank?
- According to data-driven analysis, Nairobi United have a 30% chance to win, a draw has a 45% probability, and Kenya Commercial Bank sit at 25%. The most likely outcome is a draw, given both teams' form and head-to-head record.
- What is the win probability for Nairobi United?
- Nairobi United hold a 30% win probability. The home advantage and a slightly stronger recent run (one win, no losses in five games) support this estimate, though a draw remains far more probable.
- When is the Nairobi United vs Kenya Commercial Bank match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, with a 14:00 kick-off (local time). It is a Premier League fixture in Kenya.
- What are the odds for Nairobi United vs Kenya Commercial Bank?
- Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this match. Once available, they will reflect the tight, draw-heavy nature of this fixture.