Kidderminster Harriers - Sutton United prediction 3 October 2026

Kidderminster Harriers vs Sutton United prediction for the National League match on Oct 3, 2026, at 15:00. The hosts are the favorites with a 42% win probability, while Sutton United have a 25% chance and the draw is at 33%.

Team Form

Kidderminster Harriers come into this match with a recent record of L, D, W, W, W. They lost 0-1 at home to Yeovil Town on Sep 26, drew 0-0 away at Woking, then secured three straight wins: 1-0 vs Gateshead, 2-0 vs Hartlepool United, and a 4-1 away victory at Wealdstone. This strong run shows they have bounced back well from the Yeovil defeat.

Sutton United's last five outings have been inconsistent: D, D, W, L, D. They drew 3-3 with Forest Green Rovers, 1-1 at Halifax Town, beat Eastleigh 2-1, lost 0-2 to Scunthorpe United, and drew 1-1 with Birmingham U21 in the National League Cup. With only one win in five, Sutton will need to improve to get a result at Aggborough.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once in recent years, in the FA Trophy on Feb 1, 2025. Sutton United won that match 1-0 away at Kidderminster. While the sample size is small, Sutton will take confidence from that result. However, league encounters often differ from cup ties.

League Table Positions

In the National League standings, Kidderminster Harriers sit 7th with 18 points from 10 matches (5 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 13 goals and conceded only 8, boasting one of the best defensive records. Sutton United are 10th with 17 points (5 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses), scoring 13 and conceding 13. Kidderminster's home form is particularly impressive: they are 3rd in the home table with 11 points from 6 games, having conceded just 3 goals at Aggborough.

Win Probability: Kidderminster Harriers or Sutton United?

Based on the odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Kidderminster Harriers have a 42% chance of winning, the draw stands at 33%, and Sutton United have a 25% chance. The bookmakers' odds (home win around 2.15, draw 2.20, away 3.25) imply a close contest, but Kidderminster's strong home defensive record and better recent form tilt the balance in their favor. Sutton's only previous visit ended in a win, but that was a cup match, and league form suggests the hosts are more likely to take all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds see Kidderminster Harriers priced at 2.10 to 2.15 for a home win, the draw at 2.15–2.20, and a Sutton United victory at 3.25–3.30. Bookmakers clearly see the home side as the favorite. Our prediction: Kidderminster Harriers to win, but with a draw being a very realistic outcome given Sutton's resilience. A 1-0 or 2-0 home win looks the most likely scoreline based on the stats.