Kingborough Lions - Launceston City prediction 22 August 2026
Kingborough Lions
Launceston City
South HobartKingborough LionsKingborough LionsLaunceston CityDevonport City StrikersKingborough LionsKingborough LionsClarence ZebrasKingborough LionsLaunceston UnitedKingborough LionsMelbourne VictoryLaunceston CityKingborough LionsGlenorchy KnightsKingborough LionsUlverstoneKingborough LionsKingborough LionsDevonport City StrikersKingborough LionsSouth HobartSouth East UnitedKingborough LionsKingborough LionsDevonport City StrikersRiverside OlympicKingborough LionsClarence ZebrasKingborough LionsKingborough LionsLaunceston CityLaunceston CityClarence ZebrasDevonport City StrikersLaunceston CitySouth HobartLaunceston CityRiverside OlympicLaunceston CityLaunceston CityLaunceston UnitedLaunceston CityKingborough LionsClarence ZebrasLaunceston CityLaunceston CityLaunceston UnitedLaunceston CitySouth East UnitedRiverside OlympicLaunceston CityUlverstoneLaunceston CityGlenorchy KnightsLaunceston CityLaunceston CityDevonport City StrikersLaunceston CitySouth HobartKingborough LionsLaunceston CityLaunceston CityKingborough LionsKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityLaunceston CityKingborough LionsKingborough LionsLaunceston CityLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityLaunceston CityKingborough LionsLaunceston CityKingborough Lions| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Hobart | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 65:16 | +49 | 47 |
| 2 |  Devonport City Strikers | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 56:19 | +37 | 43 |
| 3 | Kingborough Lions | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 51:16 | +35 | 43 |
| 4 | Launceston City | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 40:36 | +4 | 31 |
| 5 |  Clarence Zebras | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 30:29 | +1 | 27 |
| 6 |  Riverside Olympic | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 |  South East United | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 26:51 | -25 | 21 |
| 8 |  Glenorchy Knights | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23:33 | -10 | 17 |
| 9 |  Launceston United | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17:61 | -44 | 5 |
| 10 |  Ulverstone | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15:60 | -45 | 4 |
Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions Prediction (Jul 18)
The Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions prediction for July 18, 2026, points to an away win in this NPL Tasmania clash. Based on our probability model, Kingborough Lions have a 41% chance of victory, while Launceston City sit at 25% and the draw at 34%. The match kicks off at 06:45 UTC.
Team Form
Launceston City come into this fixture unbeaten in their last five league matches (W-D-W-D-W). Their most recent outing was a 2-1 away win at Clarence Zebras on July 11. At home, they drew 0-0 with Launceston United and beat South East United 1-0 in their last two.
Kingborough Lions have won four of their last five (W-L-W-D-W), including a 2-0 away victory at Glenorchy Knights on July 10. The only blemish was a 2-1 defeat at Ulverstone. Their attack has been potent, scoring nine goals in one away match at South East United on June 14.
Head-to-Head Record
Historically, Launceston City lead the H2H with 13 wins to Kingborough Lions' 8, alongside 5 draws. The last five meetings have been tight: Kingborough won the most recent 2-1 at home in May 2026, while Launceston City won 2-1 and 3-1 at home in 2025. A 1-1 draw in August 2025 and a 4-0 away cup win for Launceston City in April 2025 show both sides can dominate on their day.
League Table Positions
Kingborough Lions sit 2nd in the NPL Tasmania with 34 points from 15 matches (11 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Launceston City are 4th with 27 points from 13 games (9 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses). The away side also boasts a strong away record: 5 wins from 8 trips, while Launceston City have won 4 of 7 home matches but lost 3.
Win Probability: Launceston City or Kingborough Lions?
After stripping out the bookmaker margin from the average 1X2 odds, the true probabilities are: Launceston City win 25%, draw 34%, Kingborough Lions win 41%. The away side's higher league position, better points-per-game average, and solid away form justify the favourite tag. Launceston City's home advantage and recent unbeaten run keep them competitive, but the data leans towards Kingborough Lions.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Kingborough Lions as the favourite, with best odds around 2.15 for an away win. A home victory is priced as high as 3.70, while the draw sits around 2.60. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Kingborough Lions win, but a draw cannot be ruled out given Launceston City's resilience. Our prediction: Kingborough Lions to win, with a 41% probability.
Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions โ FAQ
- Who will win Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions?
- Kingborough Lions are the most likely winners with a 41% probability. Launceston City have a 25% chance, and the draw is at 34%. The away side's stronger league position and form give them the edge.
- What is the win probability for Kingborough Lions?
- Kingborough Lions have a 41% chance of winning this match. This is based on odds from multiple bookmakers, adjusted for the margin, and supported by their 2nd-place standing and 5 away wins this season.
- When is the Launceston City vs Kingborough Lions match?
- The match is on July 18, 2026, kicking off at 06:45 UTC. It is an NPL Tasmania fixture, the top football league in Tasmania, Australia.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are around 3.70 for a Launceston City home win, 2.60 for the draw, and 2.15 for a Kingborough Lions away victory. These odds reflect the bookmakers' view of Kingborough Lions as favourites.