Kjelsas - Rana FK prediction 11 October 2026
Kjelsas
Rana FKKjelsas
Trygg/LadeLorenskogKjelsasKjelsasRana FKUllensaker-KisaKjelsasKjelsasFolloGrorudKjelsasKjelsasHam-KamKjelsasStjordals BlinkSkeidKjelsasFriggKjelsasKjelsasJunkerenEidsvold TurnKjelsasKjelsasLevangerRana FKKjelsasKjelsasHonefoss BKRana FKTromsdalenLevangerRana FKKjelsasRana FKRana FKEidsvold TurnJunkerenRana FKRana FKHonefoss BKRana FKLorenskogGrorudRana FKRana FKUllensaker-KisaRana FKFolloFolloRana FKRana FKSkeidStjordals BlinkRana FKRana FKKjelsasUllensaker-KisaRana FKKjelsasRana FKRana FKKjelsasRana FKKjelsasKjelsasRana FK| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jerv | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 53:26 | +27 | 56 |
| 2 |  Brattvag | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 55:34 | +21 | 51 |
| 3 |  Bjarg | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 56:31 | +25 | 50 |
| 4 |  Mjondalen | 25 | 16 | 2 | 7 | 48:33 | +15 | 50 |
| 5 |  Sotra | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 58:31 | +27 | 45 |
| 6 |  Notodden | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 38:34 | +4 | 35 |
| 7 |  Traeff | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 40:47 | -7 | 35 |
| 8 |  Kvik Halden | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 34:35 | -1 | 34 |
| 9 |  Arendal | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 35:40 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 |  Pors Grenland | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 |  Sandviken | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 26 |
| 12 |  Lysekloster | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 34:52 | -18 | 22 |
| 13 |  Eik-Tonsberg | 25 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 28:56 | -28 | 13 |
| 14 |  Vidar | 25 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 23:65 | -42 | 13 |
Kjelsas vs Rana FK Prediction (Oct 11)
The Kjelsas vs Rana FK prediction for this 2nd Division match on Oct 11, 2026, points to a home win. Based on the odds, head-to-head record, and recent form, Kjelsas has a 70% chance of winning, while Rana FK faces an uphill battle at Grefsen Stadion.
Team Form
Kjelsas come into this match with a mixed set of results. Their last five outings show two wins, one draw, and two losses. They beat Ullensaker-Kisa 2-1 away on Oct 3 and thrashed Stjordals Blink 5-0 at home on Sep 13, but also suffered a 3-2 defeat at Grorud and a 2-0 home loss to Ham-Kam in the Cup. The 2-2 draw with Follo on Sep 26 underlines their inconsistency.
Rana FK have been even more unpredictable. They started their last five with back-to-back wins: 2-1 at home to Eidsvold Turn on Oct 4 and 2-0 away at Junkeren on Sep 26. However, those victories followed three straight defeats โ 0-1 vs Honefoss BK, 0-1 vs Lorenskog, and a 4-2 loss at Grorud. Their away form is particularly concerning, with three losses in the last five on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
Kjelsas have dominated this fixture historically. In three previous meetings, they have two wins and one draw, with Rana FK yet to register a victory. The most recent clash on Jul 26, 2026, ended 3-2 in favour of Kjelsas at Rana FK's ground. Earlier, Kjelsas won 3-0 away in September 2025, and the sides drew 2-2 in Oslo in June 2025. The head-to-head clearly favours the home side.
League Table Positions
The provided league standings show the top 12 teams in the 2nd Division, and neither Kjelsas nor Rana FK appear in that list. This indicates both clubs are currently outside the top half of the table, with Kjelsas likely holding a slight edge given their superior head-to-head and home advantage.
Win Probability: Kjelsas or Rana FK?
After normalising the bookmaker odds (home 1.33, draw 5.00, away 5.00) and adjusting for team form, H2H record, and home advantage, the calculated win probabilities are:
- Kjelsas win: 70%
- Draw: 18%
- Rana FK win: 12%
Kjelsas are the clear favourites. Their unbeaten H2H run, the backing of the odds, and the fact they are playing at home all contribute to a high probability of a home victory. Rana FK's inconsistent away form makes an upset unlikely.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have priced Kjelsas as strong favourites. The best available odds show a home win at 1.33, a draw at 5.00, and an away win at 5.00. Other bookies offer similar lines, with the home win as short as 1.30. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Kjelsas victory. A draw cannot be ruled out given both teams' recent fluctuations, but the value lies with the home side.
Kjelsas vs Rana FK โ FAQ
- Who will win Kjelsas vs Rana FK?
- Kjelsas are the most probable winners with a 70% chance. The draw has an 18% probability, while Rana FK have just a 12% chance of pulling off an away victory.
- What is the win probability for Kjelsas?
- Kjelsas have a 70% chance of winning this match. This high probability is driven by strong odds (1.33 for a home win), a dominant head-to-head record (2 wins, 1 draw in 3 meetings), and the home advantage at Grefsen Stadion.
- When is the Kjelsas vs Rana FK match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, at 12:00 local time. It will be played at Grefsen Stadion in Oslo as part of the Norwegian 2nd Division.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The current odds show Kjelsas as the clear favourite, with a home win priced at 1.33. The draw is offered at 5.00, and an away win for Rana FK is also at 5.00. Some bookmakers have the home win as low as 1.30.
- What is the head-to-head record between Kjelsas and Rana FK?
- In three previous encounters, Kjelsas have won twice and drawn once. Rana FK have never beaten Kjelsas. The most recent match on Jul 26, 2026, ended in a 3-2 away win for Kjelsas.