Stromsgodset - Kongsvinger prediction 14 October 2026

Our Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger prediction goes live for this key 1 Division match on Oct 14 at 18:00 at Marienlyst Stadion in Drammen. Based on the latest form, league table data, and odds, Stromsgodset are the favorites with a 40% win probability, while Kongsvinger hold a 35% chance of victory.

Team Form

Stromsgodset are in outstanding shape, winning their last five matches in all competitions. In the league, they have beaten Asane 1-0 at home and demolished Lyn 5-1 away. Their last five 1 Division results read W-W-W, with a 4-1 Cup win at Asker also boosting confidence. Overall, Stromsgodset's home form is particularly commanding with nine wins in twelve at Marienlyst.

Kongsvinger arrive with a similarly impressive run. They have won four of their last five, a streak only interrupted by a 1-1 draw at Egersund. The table-toppers just thrashed Ranheim 6-2 at home and won 2-0 at Moss. Their away record is strong, suffering only two defeats on the road all season, making them a very dangerous opponent.

Head-to-Head Record

The recent meetings between these sides are limited but have been evenly fought. Their only competitive 1 Division clash this season, on Jun 21, ended in an incredible 4-4 draw at Kongsvinger. A 2023 Friendly Clubs meeting also finished level at 2-2. Overall, the head-to-head record shows 0 wins for Stromsgodset, 2 draws, and 0 wins for Kongsvinger, suggesting there is very little to separate the two.

League Table Positions

This is a top-of-the-table showdown. Kongsvinger sit 1st in the 1 Division with 56 points from 25 games (17 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses), having scored 76 goals. Stromsgodset are 3rd on 54 points (16 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses), with 66 goals scored and only 32 conceded. Haugesund occupy 2nd place on 56 points. Stromsgodset have the best defensive record in the league, while Kongsvinger are the top scorers. On home soil, Stromsgodset's record is 9-2-1, while Kongsvinger's away form is 7-3-2.

Win Probability: Stromsgodset or Kongsvinger?

Analyzing the available odds, we calculate the implied probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin. The average odds of 2.10 for a Stromsgodset home win imply a base probability of around 43%, a draw at 2.92 implies 31%, and an away win for Kongsvinger at 3.24 implies 28%. Adjusting for current form and league position, Kongsvinger's top rank and superior goal-scoring slightly offset Stromsgodset's home advantage. Our final win probability assessment is: Stromsgodset has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Kongsvinger has a 35% chance. This is expected to be a very tight contest between two in-form promotion contenders.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are offering odds around 1.91 to 2.15 for a Stromsgodset home win, with the draw priced between 2.80 and 4.33 and a Kongsvinger away win at 3.00 to 3.60. Based on the stats, Stromsgodset's solid home defense and Kongsvinger's relentless attack make this match too close to call with high confidence. The value may lie in the draw, given the two high-scoring stalemates in their brief head-to-head history. Our prediction leans towards both teams scoring, but a narrow home win is the most likely single outcome.