Korabi Peshkopi - KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje prediction 16 September 2026

The Korabi Peshkopi vs KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje prediction for this Albanian 1 Division match on September 16, 2026, points to a tight contest. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Korabi Peshkopi has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 40%, and KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje has a 25% chance. Korabi Peshkopi enters as the slight favorite to win if a result is forced, but the draw is the most probable single outcome.

Team Form

Korabi Peshkopi are unbeaten in their last five matches (W,W,D,D,D). They secured a 2-1 away win at Beselidhja Lezhe on Sep 12 and a 1-0 home victory over KF Oriku on Sep 06. Three consecutive draws followed earlier: 1-1 against KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje (May 03), 1-1 at Besa Kavaje (Apr 25), and 1-1 at Kukesi (Apr 19). The team has scored in all five games, showing consistency in attack.

KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje have a mixed recent record (W,D,L,D,W). They beat Kukesi 3-1 at home on Sep 12 and Apolonia Fier 2-1 at home on Apr 25. A 0-0 home draw with Pogradeci (Sep 05) and a 1-1 away draw at Korabi Peshkopi (May 03) were balanced by a 0-2 home loss to Besa Kavaje (May 07). Notably, all five matches were at home or on neutral ground—Iliria have yet to play an away fixture this season.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met three times in the 1 Division, with a perfectly even record: one win each and one draw. The most recent encounter on May 3, 2026, ended 1-1 at Korabi's ground. Earlier, Korabi Peshkopi won 2-1 at home on Jan 24, 2026, while KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje claimed a 2-1 home victory on Oct 24, 2025. The head-to-head stats suggest neither team holds a clear psychological edge.

League Table Positions

After two matchdays, Korabi Peshkopi sit top of the 1 Division with a perfect 6 points (2 wins, goals 3:1). KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje are 3rd with 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, goals 3:1). At home, Korabi have 3 points from one game (1-0 win), while Iliria have yet to play away—their two matches were both at home. The 2-point gap and home advantage tilt the balance slightly toward Korabi.

Win Probability: Korabi Peshkopi or KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje?

We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Korabi Peshkopi win – 35%, Draw – 40%, KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje win – 25%. These figures are derived from the average inverse odds of bookmakers (home 2.90–3.00, draw 2.00, away 3.40–3.75), normalized to remove the margin, then adjusted for Korabi's unbeaten form, top league position, home advantage, and Iliria's lack of away matches this season. The draw remains the single most likely result, but Korabi are the more probable winner if the match does not end level.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see the draw as the clear favorite, offering odds of 2.00 across the board. A home win for Korabi Peshkopi is priced between 2.90 and 3.00, while an away win for KF Iliria Fushe-Kruje ranges from 3.40 to 3.75. Based on the stats, a draw is the safest betting tip, but Korabi Peshkopi's strong start and home form make them the more likely side to take all three points if the deadlock is broken. Our prediction: a low-scoring draw or a narrow Korabi win.