Korea Republic - Uzbekistan prediction 6 October 2026

Korea Republic vs Uzbekistan prediction for the Friendly International match on October 6, 2026, at 12:00. Based on the latest odds and team form, Korea Republic are the favorites with a 45% win probability, while a draw is at 35% and Uzbekistan have a 20% chance.

Team Form

Korea Republic have struggled in recent outings, with just one win in their last five matches (D, L, W, L, L). They drew 0-0 with Venezuela on October 2, lost 1-4 to Uruguay on September 28, beat Ecuador 3-0 on September 24, and suffered narrow 0-1 defeats to South Africa and Mexico in the World Cup in June. The team has scored only 4 goals in this period and kept just one clean sheet.

Uzbekistan's form reads W, W, L, L, L. They recorded impressive friendly wins over Syria (4-1 on October 1) and Iran (3-1 on September 24), but their World Cup campaign ended with heavy losses to Congo DR (1-3), Portugal (0-5), and Colombia (1-3). Despite the mixed results, the two recent victories will boost confidence.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met twice before, both times in Uzbekistan. The head-to-head is perfectly balanced with one win each and no draws. On November 20, 2018, Korea Republic won 4-0 in a Friendly International. Earlier that year, on October 13, 2018, Uzbekistan won 2-0 in a Friendly Clubs match. The overall record shows 1 home win and 1 away win from the two encounters.

Win Probability: Korea Republic or Uzbekistan?

After analyzing the odds, form, and head-to-head record, we assign the following win probabilities:

• Korea Republic win: 45%
• Draw: 35%
• Uzbekistan win: 20%

The bookmakers' odds imply Korea Republic as the clear favorite, and home advantage supports that. However, their recent form is poor, and Uzbekistan have shown they can score goals in friendlies. The even head-to-head record and the high draw probability from the odds suggest a stalemate is a realistic outcome. Korea Republic are more likely to win, but not by a wide margin.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a range of odds for this match. A Korea Republic victory is priced between 1.65 and 2.10, a draw between 2.12 and 3.70, and an Uzbekistan win between 4.00 and 4.80. These odds reflect the home side's favorite status but also indicate uncertainty, with the draw odds notably short at some books.

Based on the stats, Korea Republic are the most probable winners, but their shaky form makes a draw a strong possibility. Our prediction: Korea Republic to win, but with caution. A low-scoring affair could be on the cards given both teams' recent struggles in front of goal.