Korea Republic - Venezuela prediction 2 October 2026

Korea Republic vs Venezuela prediction for the Friendly International match on Oct 2, 2026, at 12:00. This fixture sees Korea Republic host Venezuela in a World Friendly International. Korea Republic is the favorite with a 60% win probability, while Venezuela has a 15% chance and the draw stands at 25%. Our betting tips preview covers team form, head-to-head record, and the latest odds to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

Korea Republic Recent Form

Korea Republic's last five matches: a 1-4 loss to Uruguay (Sep 28), a 3-0 win over Ecuador (Sep 24), a 0-1 loss to South Africa (Jun 25), a 0-1 loss to Mexico (Jun 19), and a 2-1 win over Czech Republic (Jun 12). That's two wins and three losses. They scored 6 goals and conceded 7 in these five matches. At home, they have won two of their last three, scoring five and conceding five. Their defeats came against strong opponents like Uruguay, South Africa, and Mexico.

Venezuela Recent Form

Venezuela's last five matches: a 1-2 loss to Japan (Sep 28), a 2-0 win over Iraq (Jun 10), a 1-2 loss to Turkey (Jun 6), a 0-0 draw with Uzbekistan (Mar 30), and a 4-1 win over Trinidad and Tobago (Mar 27). They have two wins, two losses, and one draw, with 8 goals scored and 5 conceded. On the road, they beat Iraq and drew with Uzbekistan, but lost to Japan. Their losses came against higher-ranked Japan and Turkey.

Head-to-Head Record

This is the first meeting between Korea Republic and Venezuela. There is no head-to-head history to analyze.

Korea Republic vs Venezuela Prediction: Win Probability

Based on the odds and recent performances, Korea Republic has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Venezuela has a 15% chance. The implied probabilities from the best available odds (1.70, 3.94, 5.35) were normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, giving a baseline of 57% for Korea Republic, 25% for the draw, and 18% for Venezuela. Adjusting for home advantage and recent form—Korea Republic's two home wins in three matches versus Venezuela's mixed away form—we slightly increased the home win probability to 60%. The lack of head-to-head data makes the odds the primary guide, and they heavily favor the home side. Given the odds and form, a bet on Korea Republic to win offers value.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are 1.70 for a Korea Republic win, 3.94 for the draw, and 5.35 for a Venezuela victory. These odds come from the first bookmaker listed on our page; other bookmakers offer similar odds, with home win prices ranging from 1.62 to 1.70. Based on the stats, Korea Republic is the most likely winner. However, Venezuela has shown they can compete, so a draw is not out of the question. For betting tips, a home win is the safest pick at 1.70 odds.