Slavija Sarajevo - Kozara Gradiska prediction 23 September 2026
Slavija Sarajevo
Kozara GradiskaSlavija Sarajevo
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Slavija Sarajevo vs Kozara Gradiska prediction for the 1st League. RS match on Sep 23, 2026, at 15:00. Based on the latest odds and recent form, Slavija Sarajevo is the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Kozara Gradiska has a 24% chance to pull off an upset.
Team Form
Slavija Sarajevo's recent form is poor, with four losses in their last five matches (L, L, W, L, L). They lost 0-1 to Omarska on Sep 20, 0-3 to Drina Zvornik on Sep 5, and 1-3 to Laktasi on May 31. Their only win came against Sutjeska Foca (2-1) on Sep 2. Kozara Gradiska's away form shows slight improvement: W, D, L, D, L. They beat Velez Nevesinje 1-0 on Sep 19, drew 0-0 with FK Majevica Lopare on Sep 2, and lost 0-2 to Laktasi on May 23. The visitors have managed two draws in their last five away games, suggesting they can be resilient.
Head-to-Head Record
The only previous meeting between these sides ended in a 5-2 home win for Slavija Sarajevo on Apr 19, 2025. That dominant performance gives Slavija a psychological edge, but the current squads may differ significantly.
Win Probability: Slavija Sarajevo or Kozara Gradiska?
After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for recent form, the win probabilities are: Slavija Sarajevo 48%, draw 28%, Kozara Gradiska 24%. The initial odds implied a 51.5% chance for a home win, but Slavija's four losses in five games reduce that figure. Kozara's away form, with a win and two draws, lifts their chances slightly above the raw odds estimate. The draw probability also increases due to both teams' inconsistency.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' 1X2 odds range from 1.73 to 2.40 for a Slavija Sarajevo win, 2.15 to 3.40 for the draw, and 3.80 to 4.20 for a Kozara Gradiska victory. The latest odds (1.73, 3.40, 4.00) clearly favor the home side. Based on the stats, Slavija Sarajevo is the more likely winner, but their shaky form means a draw is a real possibility. A narrow home win or a low-scoring draw are the most probable outcomes.
Slavija Sarajevo vs Kozara Gradiska โ FAQ
- Who will win Slavija Sarajevo vs Kozara Gradiska?
- Slavija Sarajevo has a 48% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Kozara Gradiska has a 24% chance. Slavija is the favorite, but recent form suggests a close match.
- What is the win probability for Slavija Sarajevo?
- Slavija Sarajevo's win probability is 48%. This is based on bookmaker odds (implied 51.5%) adjusted downward due to their poor recent run of four losses in five matches.
- When is the Slavija Sarajevo vs Kozara Gradiska match?
- The match is on Sep 23, 2026, at 15:00 local time (Bosnia-Herzegovina). It is a 1st League. RS fixture.
- What are the odds for Slavija Sarajevo vs Kozara Gradiska?
- The latest 1X2 odds are: Slavija Sarajevo 1.73, draw 3.40, Kozara Gradiska 4.00. Odds vary across bookmakers, with home win odds ranging from 1.73 to 2.40.
- What is the head-to-head record between Slavija Sarajevo and Kozara Gradiska?
- The teams have met once before, on Apr 19, 2025. Slavija Sarajevo won 5-2 at home.