Pogon Barlinek - KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II prediction 11 October 2026

Pogon Barlinek vs KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II prediction: the visitors are heavily favored to win this IV Liga match on October 11, 2026, at 14:00. Based on odds and recent form, KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II has a 57% chance of victory, while Pogon Barlinek sits at just 13%.

Team Form

Pogon Barlinek have lost both of their last two matches, conceding 6 goals and scoring just once. They fell 4-1 away to NKS Astra Ustronie Morskie on October 4 and 2-0 at LKS Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal on September 5. Both defeats came on the road, and they return home desperate to turn things around.

KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II are in excellent shape, winning four of their last five. Their recent results:

• Oct 4: KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II 5-0 Iskierka Szczecin (home)
• Sep 26: KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II 2-1 Biali Sadow (home)
• Sep 19: NKS Astra Ustronie Morskie 1-2 KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II (away)
• Sep 13: KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II 4-0 Pogon Szczecin II (home)
• Aug 30: KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II 0-3 Gwardia Koszalin (home)

The visitors have scored 13 goals in those four wins, showing strong attacking form.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Pogon Barlinek and KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II. This will be their first encounter.

League Table Positions

Current league standings are not available in the data. However, the contrasting form suggests the visitors are likely near the top, while the home side’s two straight defeats point to a lower position.

Win Probability: Pogon Barlinek or KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II?

After analyzing the odds, team form, and home/away factor, the calculated win probabilities are:

• Pogon Barlinek: 13%
• Draw: 30%
• KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II: 57%

The odds heavily favor the away side, and their dominant recent performances reinforce this. Pogon Barlinek’s poor form and lack of a recent home record (both defeats were away) reduce their chances, despite being the nominal home team. The draw probability of 30% reflects some uncertainty, but the visitors are the clear favorites.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II as the clear favorite. One bookmaker offers odds of 6.50 for a home win, 2.80 for a draw, and 1.67 for an away win. Another lists 6.25, 5.00, and 1.33 respectively.

Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away victory. The visitors’ attacking prowess (13 goals in their last four wins) and the hosts’ defensive struggles make KP Blekitni Stargard Szczecinski II the team to back. However, the 30% draw probability suggests some caution, as the home side might raise their game in front of their own fans. Our prediction: an away win, possibly with over 2.5 total goals given the visitors’ scoring record.