Krka - Dren Vrhnika prediction 27 October 2026

Our Krka vs Dren Vrhnika prediction for the 2 SNL match on October 27, 2026, gives Krka a 38% chance to win, with a draw at 36% and Dren Vrhnika at 26%. The match kicks off at 13:30 and features two sides struggling for form in the Slovenian second division.

Team Form

Krka come into this fixture in dreadful shape. They have lost all of their last five matches, conceding at least twice in each of the last four. The only goal they scored in that run came in a 2‑1 home defeat to Jadran Dekani on September 20. Away from home, Krka lost 2‑0 at Bilje, 2‑1 at Ilirija, 2‑1 at Tabor Sezana, and 3‑0 at Beltinci.

Dren Vrhnika have not fared much better. Their last five results are W‑L‑D‑L‑L. A 2‑1 home win against NK Primorje Ajdovscina on September 19 is the lone bright spot. Since then they drew 0‑0 at home to Krsko and lost three matches – a 5‑0 thrashing at Jesenice, a 1‑0 defeat at Jadran Dekani, and a 2‑1 home loss to Beltinci. Away from home, Dren Vrhnika have lost their last three, scoring just once.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head‑to‑head record between Krka and Dren Vrhnika. The two teams have never met before, making this their first official encounter.

League Table Positions

Dren Vrhnika sit 11th in the 2 SNL standings with 14 points from 11 matches (W4 D2 L5). They have scored 11 goals and conceded 15. Krka’s league position is not available in the provided data, so a direct table comparison cannot be made.

Win Probability: Krka or Dren Vrhnika?

Based on available odds, form, and home advantage, the win probabilities are calculated as follows:

• Krka win: 38%
• Draw: 36%
• Dren Vrhnika win: 26%

The base numbers come from the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (Krka 2.16, draw 2.44, Dren Vrhnika 3.26), which after removing the margin gave Krka a 39.2% chance, the draw 34.8%, and Dren Vrhnika 26.0%. Krka’s disastrous run of five straight defeats was factored in, slightly lowering their win probability while raising the draw chance. Home advantage still gives Krka the edge, but the numbers show this is almost a coin toss between a home win and a draw. Dren Vrhnika’s poor away form makes an away victory the least likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average odds from the bookmakers listed are:

• Krka win: 2.16
• Draw: 2.44
• Dren Vrhnika win: 3.26

Bookmakers see Krka as the slight favorite. Considering both teams’ recent struggles and the lack of goals on both sides, the most likely outcomes are a narrow Krka victory or a draw. Given the form numbers, a low‑scoring draw cannot be ruled out. Based on the stats, Krka have just enough to edge this, but betting on the draw offers value.