KS Lomianki - Polonia II Warszawa prediction 5 September 2026

On September 5, 2026, at 09:00 UTC, KS Lomianki host Polonia II Warszawa in a IV Liga match in Poland. Our KS Lomianki vs Polonia II Warszawa prediction points to the visitors as the clear favorites, with a win probability of 49% based on the odds and recent form. The home side struggles with just one win in five, while Polonia II Warszawa arrives with three wins in four.

Team Form

KS Lomianki come into this match in poor shape. Their last five results read: L, L, W, L, L. In their most recent outing on August 26, they lost 1–2 at home to Ursus Warszawa. Before that, a heavy 1–5 defeat to MKS Makowianka Makow Mazowiecki. The only bright spot was a 3–2 win over Legionovia Legionowo back in June, but that was followed by two more losses. They have conceded 14 goals in those five matches, scoring just 6.

Polonia II Warszawa are enjoying a much better run. Their last four results: W, L, W, W. On August 30, they beat Bron Radom 2–1 at home. Prior to that, a narrow 0–1 loss away to Victoria Sulejowek on August 26. The other two wins were a 3–0 victory over Nadnarwianka Pultusk and a 3–0 win against Drukarz Warszawa. With 8 goals scored and only 2 conceded in that span, they clearly have the edge in momentum.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no recorded history between these two sides. The head-to-head stats are all zero: KS Lomianki wins 0, draws 0, Polonia II Warszawa wins 0. This will be their first meeting in available data, so no past results can influence the prediction.

Win Probability: KS Lomianki or Polonia II Warszawa?

We calculate the outcome probabilities using the odds from three bookmakers (4.50/2.60/2.00, 4.40/2.65/1.93, 5.00/2.60/1.88). After removing the bookmaker margin, the average fair probabilities are:

• KS Lomianki win: 19.4%
• Draw: 34.3%
• Polonia II Warszawa win: 46.3%

Adjusting for current form – the home team’s disastrous run (1W, 4L) and the away team’s strong burst (3W, 1L) – we slightly lower the home chance and raise the away chance. The final probabilities are KS Lomianki 18%, draw 33%, Polonia II Warszawa 49%. The away side is clearly the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Polonia II Warszawa as the favorite, with best odds of 1.88 for an away win. The best home odds are 5.00, and the draw sits around 2.60–2.65. These odds align with the form gap: the hosts have lost four of their last five, while the visitors have won three of four. Based on the stats, the prediction is an away win for Polonia II Warszawa, though the draw probability is not negligible. For betting tips, the away win looks the most solid option, while the draw could be a value pick given the 33% probability and odds above 2.60.