Belisia Bilzen - KSK Heist prediction 30 September 2026

This Belisia Bilzen vs KSK Heist prediction covers the First Amateur Division match in Belgium on Sep 30 at 19:00. Based on the available odds, recent form and head-to-head record, KSK Heist are slight favourites with a 38% win probability, while Belisia Bilzen have 34% and the draw is at 28%.

Team Form

Belisia Bilzen come into this game with a recent form line of L, W, L, D, L. In their last five supplied matches, they lost 3-2 to Royal Knokke on Sep 20, beat Merelbeke 1-0 at home on Sep 13, lost 4-3 to Houtvenne on Sep 6, drew 1-1 with Sportkring Roeselare on Aug 30, and lost 4-0 to Sporting Hasselt in a friendly on Aug 8. Across those five supplied matches, Belisia Bilzen scored 7 goals and conceded 12.

KSK Heist's recent form line is L, D, W, L, W. They lost 3-2 to K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar on Sep 19, drew 1-1 with Thes Sport on Sep 12, beat KRC Harelbeke 2-1 on Sep 5, lost 2-0 to Dessel Sport in the Cup on Aug 12, and beat Geel 8-0 in the Cup on Jul 29. Across those five supplied matches, KSK Heist scored 13 goals and conceded 7.

Head-to-Head Record

The last two meetings are split with one win each. On Feb 8, 2025, Belisia Bilzen lost 2-3 at home to KSK Heist. On Nov 9, 2024, KSK Heist lost 1-3 at home to Belisia Bilzen. Both matches were won by the away side, and there have been no draws in this fixture in the supplied data.

League Table Positions

The supplied First Amateur Division standings snapshot does not include Belisia Bilzen or KSK Heist in the top 12, so a direct league-position comparison is not possible from this data. In that table, Meux and RW Daring Molenbeek Brussels 47 lead with 15 points each. Meux have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 6 matches, while RW Daring Molenbeek Brussels 47 have 5 wins from 5 matches.

Win Probability: Belisia Bilzen or KSK Heist?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record and home/away factor, Belisia Bilzen have a 34% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and KSK Heist have a 38% chance.

The three bookmaker lines imply a very close match. After normalising the inverse odds to remove the margin, the raw probabilities are roughly 33.4% for Belisia Bilzen, 33.1% for the draw and 33.5% for KSK Heist. KSK Heist’s slightly better recent form and the away-side wins in both previous H2H meetings shift the conclusion toward the away team.

Conclusion: KSK Heist are the more likely winner, but only by a small margin.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds range from 2.25 to 3.10 for Belisia Bilzen, 2.38 to 3.50 for the draw, and 2.60 to 2.75 for KSK Heist. In two of the three listed odds sets, KSK Heist are the shorter price, while Belisia Bilzen are shorter in one set.

Match prediction: based on the stats, KSK Heist are the slight value side. The data supports an away win probability of 38%, but with the draw at 28% and Belisia Bilzen at 34%, this is a tight betting market.