KSK Heist - Tienen prediction 21 October 2026
KSK Heist
Tienen
ZelzateKSK HeistKSK HeistTienenKSK HeistRoyal Antwerp FCOud-Heverlee Leuven IIKSK HeistKSK HeistCercle Brugge IIBelisia BilzenKSK HeistK Lyra-Lierse BerlaarKSK HeistKSK HeistThes SportKSK HeistKRC HarelbekeKSK HeistDessel SportKSK HeistGeelKSK HeistPatro EisdenKSK HeistMechelenKSK HeistBocholter VVBerchem SportKSK HeistTienenKFC Mandel UnitedKSK HeistTienenBelisia BilzenTienenTienenMerelbekeCercle Brugge IITienenTienenSportkring RoeselareKRC HarelbekeTienenOud-Heverlee Leuven IITienenTienenDessel SportTienenMechelen IITienenRacing MechelenTienenRW Daring Molenbeek Brussels 47TienenROC CharleroiTienenHoogstraten VVRoyal KnokkeTienenKSK HeistTienenTienenKSK HeistKSK HeistTienenTienenKSK HeistKSK HeistTienenTienenKSK HeistTienenKSK HeistTienenKSK Heist| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rochefort | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:9 | +12 | 20 |
| 2 |  Meux | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | +7 | 19 |
| 3 |  RW Daring Molenbeek Brussels 47 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 19 |
| 4 |  Union Saint-Gilloise II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 |  RAEC Mons | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:16 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |  Tubize | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Standard Liege 2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:8 | +5 | 13 |
| 8 |  RC Sporting Charleroi 2 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 |  ROC Charleroi | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 |
| 10 |  RSC Habay-La-Neuve | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Onhaye | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 12 |  FC Flenu | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10:31 | -21 | 1 |
KSK Heist vs Tienen Prediction (Oct 21)
The KSK Heist vs Tienen prediction for October 21, 2026, points to a tight First Amateur Division contest at Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum. Based on odds, form, and head-to-head data, KSK Heist enters as a slight favorite with a 38% win probability, but Tienen's unbeaten run makes the draw (35%) and away win (27%) very realistic outcomes.
Team Form
KSK Heist's recent form is patchy: L, D, W, L, L in their last five matches. A 3-1 home win over Cercle Brugge II on October 3 was the only bright spot, with defeats to Royal Antwerp FC (0-1), Belisia Bilzen (1-3), and K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar (2-3) exposing defensive issues. Tienen, on the other hand, are unbeaten in five: D, D, W, D, W. They drew 2-2 at Belisia Bilzen and 0-0 with Merelbeke, beat Cercle Brugge II 3-1 away, and thrashed KRC Harelbeke 4-0. This contrasting form gives Tienen a clear confidence edge.
Head-to-Head Record
In seven previous meetings, Tienen hold a slight advantage with 3 wins to KSK Heist's 2, plus 2 draws. The most recent clash, a friendly on August 13, 2025, ended 2-1 to Tienen. In First Amateur Division encounters, the last three were: KSK Heist 1-0 Tienen (Feb 2025), Tienen 3-0 KSK Heist (Oct 2024), and a 2-2 draw (Mar 2024). The H2H trend suggests Tienen often avoid defeat, especially away from home.
Win Probability: KSK Heist or Tienen?
After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for recent form and H2H, the win probabilities are: KSK Heist 38%, draw 35%, Tienen 27%. The initial odds implied a 42.4% home win, but KSK Heist's poor form (one win in five) and Tienen's five-match unbeaten streak shift the balance. The draw probability is notably high, reflecting both teams' tendency to share points in this fixture.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' average odds: KSK Heist 2.13, draw 2.56, Tienen 4.03. The market sees KSK Heist as the favorite, but the draw odds are unusually short, signaling a tight match. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a draw, with Tienen capable of snatching a win if KSK Heist's defensive lapses continue. A 1-1 scoreline fits the data patterns.
KSK Heist vs Tienen โ FAQ
- Who will win KSK Heist vs Tienen?
- KSK Heist has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is 35%, and Tienen has a 27% chance. While KSK Heist are slight favorites at home, Tienen's unbeaten form and superior head-to-head record make a draw or away win very possible.
- What is the win probability for KSK Heist?
- KSK Heist's win probability is 38%. This is based on normalized bookmaker odds adjusted for their recent poor form (one win in five) and Tienen's five-match unbeaten streak.
- When is the KSK Heist vs Tienen match?
- The match is on October 21, 2026, at 19:00 local time. It is a First Amateur Division fixture in Belgium, played at Gemeentelijk Sportcentrum in Heist-Op-Den-Berg.
- What are the odds for KSK Heist vs Tienen?
- Average bookmaker odds are: KSK Heist 2.13, draw 2.56, Tienen 4.03. Some bookies offer as low as 1.75 for a home win, but the market consensus points to a closely contested match.