KTP - Mikkelin Palloilijat prediction 25 September 2026
KTP
Mikkelin PalloilijatKTP
Klubi 04SJK AkatemiaKTPKTPMikkelin PalloilijatPK-35 VantaaKTPKTPJaPSJIPPOKTPKTPHakaEIFKTPKTPKรคPa Kapylan PalloKlubi 04KTPKTPSJK AkatemiaMikkelin PalloilijatKTPKTPPK-35 VantaaKTPJaPSKTPJIPPOMikkelin PalloilijatJaPSKรคPa Kapylan PalloMikkelin PalloilijatKTPMikkelin PalloilijatMikkelin PalloilijatJIPPOMikkelin PalloilijatSJK AkatemiaHakaMikkelin PalloilijatMikkelin PalloilijatPK-35 VantaaKlubi 04Mikkelin PalloilijatMikkelin PalloilijatEIFJaPSMikkelin PalloilijatMikkelin PalloilijatKรคPa Kapylan PalloMikkelin PalloilijatKTPJIPPOMikkelin PalloilijatSJK AkatemiaMikkelin PalloilijatMikkelin PalloilijatHakaKTPMikkelin PalloilijatMikkelin PalloilijatKTPKTPMikkelin PalloilijatMikkelin PalloilijatKTPMikkelin PalloilijatKTPMikkelin PalloilijatKTPKTPMikkelin PalloilijatKTPMikkelin PalloilijatMikkelin PalloilijatKTPMikkelin PalloilijatKTPKTPMikkelin PalloilijatKTPMikkelin PalloilijatKTPMikkelin PalloilijatKTPMikkelin PalloilijatKTPMikkelin PalloilijatKTPMikkelin Palloilijat| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTP | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 48:26 | +22 | 59 |
| 2 |  PK-35 Vantaa | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 44:23 | +21 | 52 |
| 3 |  Haka | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 51:31 | +20 | 47 |
| 4 |  JIPPO | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38:22 | +16 | 47 |
| 5 |  JaPS | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 38 |
| 6 |  EIF | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32:46 | -14 | 32 |
| 7 | Mikkelin Palloilijat | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 |  Klubi 04 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 |  KรคPa Kapylan Pallo | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 33:49 | -16 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK Akatemia | 27 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23:47 | -24 | 17 |
KTP vs Mikkelin Palloilijat Prediction (Sep 25)
Our KTP vs Mikkelin Palloilijat prediction for the Ykkosliiga match on Sep 25, 2026, at 16:30 gives the hosts a 70% chance of victory. Bookmakers agree, listing KTP as the overwhelming favorite, while Mikkelin Palloilijat face a tough task away from home.
Team Form
KTP arrive in flawless shape with five wins from their last five matches โ W, W, W, W, W. During that run they scored 11 goals and conceded just once, including big wins over JaPS (3-0) and PK-35 Vantaa (3-0 away). Mikkelin Palloilijat's recent form is patchy: W, D, W, L, L. They managed a 1-0 home win over JIPPO but lost 0-3 to PK-35 Vantaa and were outscored 4-3 by Klubi 04.
Head-to-Head Record
The H2H record strongly favours KTP. From 15 matches, KTP have won 9, there have been 2 draws, and Mikkelin Palloilijat have won 4. In this season's earlier meeting (Apr 10, 2026), KTP edged a 1-0 home victory. The most recent encounter (Jul 25, 2026) ended 3-3 at Mikkelin Palloilijat.
League Table Positions
KTP sit top of Ykkosliiga with 57 points from 24 matches (W18 D3 L3, GF44 GA21). At home they boast a 9-1-2 record (25 scored, 12 conceded). Mikkelin Palloilijat are 7th, 29 points behind, on 28 points (W8 D4 L12, GF26 GA34). On the road they struggle: 3 wins, 1 draw, 8 defeats, with a negative goal difference (12-17).
Win Probability: KTP or Mikkelin Palloilijat?
We have calculated the match outcome probabilities based on odds, team form, H2H, and league positions:
- KTP win: 70%
- Draw: 20%
- Mikkelin Palloilijat win: 10 %
The inverse of the average bookmaker odds gave a base probability of about 56% for a KTP win, 28% for the draw, and16% for an away win. We adjusted heavily in favours of KTP because of their perfect recent form, top position, dominant home record, and the lopsided H2H. Mikkelin Palloilijat's poor away performances (only3 wins in12) further reduce their chances. All factors point to a home win โ KTP are far more likely to take three points.
Odds & Match Prediction
The pre-match odds from five bookmakers show KTP heavily favoured: best odds around 1.36 for a home win, 2.60โ3.00 for the draw, and 3.05โ6.00 for an away win. Based on the stats, our KTP vs Mikkelin Palloilijat prediction is a comfortable home victory. The form and quality gap is too large for the visitors to overcome, making KTP the clear pick to win.
KTP vs Mikkelin Palloilijat โ FAQ
- Who will win KTP vs Mikkelin Palloilijat?
- KTP are the clear favorites. Our probability breakdown gives KTP a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20%, and Mikkelin Palloilijat just a 10% chance. The hosts dominate in all key metrics โ form, head-to-head, and league standing.
- What is the win probability for KTP?
- KTP have a 70% win probability, according to our analysis. This high figure reflects their five-match winning streak, top-of-the-table position, and strong home record (9-1-2) against an opponent with a poor away record.
- When is the KTP vs Mikkelin Palloilijat match?
- The match takes place on Sep 25, 2026, at 16:30 local time (UTC+1). It is a Ykkosliiga fixture held at the Arto Tolsa Areena in Kotka, Finland.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers strongly favour KTP. The best available odds average around 1.36 for a KTP win, 2.75 for a draw, and 5.50 for a Mikkelin Palloilijat victory. The exact numbers vary slightly by bookmaker.
- How have the teams performed recently?
- KTP have won their last five matches, scoring 11 and conceding just once. Mikkelin Palloilijatโs last five read as W, D, W, L, L; they have lost three of their last four away games in the league.