| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 48:26 | +22 | 59 | |
| 2 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 44:23 | +21 | 52 | |
| 3 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 51:31 | +20 | 47 | |
| 4 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38:22 | +16 | 47 | |
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 25:41 | -16 | 38 | |
| 6 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32:46 | -14 | 32 | |
| 7 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 | |
| 8 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 27 | |
| 9 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 33:49 | -16 | 25 | |
| 10 | 27 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23:47 | -24 | 17 |
The KTP vs SJK Akatemia prediction points to a comfortable home victory when these two Ykkosliiga sides meet on Jul 31, 2026, at 15:30. Based on the latest odds, league standings, and head-to-head record, KTP enters the match as the overwhelming favorite with a 78% win probability.
KTP's recent form has been mixed but still far superior to their opponents. In their last five matches they recorded two wins (4-1 vs JaPS, 2-0 at Haka), two draws (3-3 at Mikkelin Palloilijat, 3-3 vs JIPPO), and one loss (0-1 vs PK-35 Vantaa). That run produced 12 goals scored and 8 conceded, showing attacking strength but some defensive vulnerability.
SJK Akatemia, on the other hand, are winless in five. They managed three consecutive draws (0-0 vs EIF, 2-2 at KรคPa Kapylan Pallo, 1-1 vs Mikkelin Palloilijat) before losing their last two (0-1 at JaPS, 0-2 at Klubi 04). With only 3 goals scored in that period and 6 conceded, their struggles at both ends are clear.
The head-to-head record is one-sided. Across all meetings, KTP have won 6, drawn 2, and lost none to SJK Akatemia. The most recent encounter on May 29, 2026, ended 1-0 to KTP. Earlier in 2026, KTP won 2-1 away in the Ykkoscup. In 2022, KTP won 1-0 at home and drew 1-1 away. SJK Akatemia have never beaten KTP, and that psychological edge heavily favors the hosts.
KTP sit 2nd in the Ykkosliiga with 33 points from 16 matches (10 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses), just one point behind leaders PK-35 Vantaa. Their home form is strong: 5 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, with 16 goals scored and only 9 conceded at the Arto Tolsa Areena. SJK Akatemia are bottom of the table (10th) with only 9 points, having won just once all season. The 24-point gap and KTP's promotion push make a home win the most likely outcome.
After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for form, H2H dominance, and league positions, the win probabilities are: KTP 78%, draw 15%, SJK Akatemia 7%. The odds imply a home win probability above 70%, and the massive gap in quality and confidence pushes it even higher. KTP are clearly the team more likely to win.
Bookmakers have priced KTP as short as 1.30 to win, with the draw at 5.35 and an SJK Akatemia victory at 9.33. These odds reflect the gulf between the sides. Based on the stats, KTP are expected to secure all three points. A home win is the most probable match outcome.