Podkonice - Kysucke Nove Mesto prediction 11 October 2026

Podkonice vs Kysucke Nove Mesto prediction for the 3 Liga match on October 11, 2026 at 14:00. Based on our win probability analysis, Podkonice has a 58% chance to win, making them the clear favorite in this Slovakian 3 Liga fixture.

Team Form

Podkonice’s recent results: L 1-2 at Namestovo, D 4-4 vs Ruzomberok B, L 3-4 at Fomat Martin, W 3-2 vs Banik Kalinovo, D 1-1 at Novohrad Lucenec. They have managed just one win in five, but that victory came at home against Banik Kalinovo and they scored freely in that match.

Kysucke Nove Mesto’s last five: W 1-0 vs TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele, L 0-6 at Cadca, D 1-1 vs FTC Filakovo, L 1-4 at Rimavska Sobota, L 0-1 vs Dolny Kubin. The 6-0 thrashing at Cadca and the 4-1 loss at Rimavska Sobota highlight major defensive issues away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

The two previous meetings were both won by Podkonice. The most recent was a 1-0 away win for Podkonice on March 7 ,2026. Earlier, on August 3, 2025, Podkonice won 2-0 at home. Kysucke Nove Mesto have not scored against Podkonice in 180 minutees of football.

Win Probability: Podkonice or Kysucke Nove Mesto?

Podkonice has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Kysucke Nove Mesto has a 14% chance. These percentages are derived from bookmaker odds (home 1.65, draw 2.85, away 6.25), adjusted for recent form and the head-to-head dominance. Podkonice’s two H2H wins, both with clean sheets, coupled with Kysucke Nove Mesto’s heavy away defeats, push the home win probability well above the raw odds-implied 54%.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Podkonice as stronng favorites: odds of 1.65 for a home win, 2.85 for a draw, and 6.25 for an away win. Based on the stats, Podkonice are the likely winners. The value may lie in the home win, but the odds reflect the clear gulf between the sides.