Gicumbi - La Jeunesse prediction 11 February 2026
Gicumbi
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Our La Jeunesse vs Gicumbi prediction for the Rwanda Cup match on February 11, 2026, kicks off at 11:00. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Gicumbi enters as the favorite with a 55% chance of winning, while La Jeunesse has a 20% probability and the draw is at 25%.
Team Form
La Jeunesse come into this fixture with a poor recent run, recording L, L, W, L, L in their last five matches. The only win was a 3-0 away victory at Alpha FC, but they suffered defeats against Nkombo FC, Vision JN, and two losses to Gicumbi in the Cup. Gicumbiโs form is slightly better at L, W, L, W, L, alternating wins over Mukura and Bugesera with losses to APR, AS Kigali, and Gasogi United. Gicumbiโs ability to score in wins and compete in a higher division (National League) gives them a subtle edge.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head numbers heavily favor the away team. In the last five meetings, the home side has won zero times, there have been two draws, and the away team has won three. La Jeunesse have hosted Gicumbi twice in this span, losing both 1-2 and 0-2. Gicumbiโs away record against La Jeunesse is therefore perfect, and the overall trend suggests a strong away bias in this matchup.
Win Probability: La Jeunesse or Gicumbi?
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: La Jeunesse win โ 20%, draw โ 25%, Gicumbi win โ 55%. This estimation is built on the absence of bookmaker odds, so we rely entirely on statistical factors. Gicumbiโs superior recent form (two wins in five vs. one), the clear head-to-head advantage (away teams winning 3 of 5, La Jeunesse zero home wins), and the fact that Gicumbi competes in the National League while La Jeunesse play in Division 2 all point to an away victory. The draw is a realistic possibility given the two stalemates in the history, but Gicumbi is the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Currently, no bookmaker odds are available for this fixture. Without odds to compare, our prediction is based purely on the stats. The data suggests Gicumbi will be the likelier side to claim victory, making them the team to back if odds appear. The final score prediction leans toward a 2-1 away win, reflecting the head-to-head goal patterns and recent output from both sides.
La Jeunesse vs Gicumbi โ FAQ
- Who will win La Jeunesse vs Gicumbi?
- Gicumbi has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and La Jeunesse has a 20% chance. The away team is the clear favorite based on head-to-head record and recent form.
- What is the win probability for Gicumbi?
- Gicumbiโs win probability is 55%. This is calculated from the teamโs superior recent results, the head-to-head trend where the away side won 3 of the last 5 meetings, and the division gap between the two clubs.
- When is the La Jeunesse vs Gicumbi match?
- The match is scheduled for February 11, 2026, at 11:00 (UTC). It is a Cup competition match in Rwanda.
- What are the odds for the match?
- At this moment, odds are not available from bookmakers. If odds become available, Gicumbi is expected to be the favorite, while La Jeunesse would be the underdog.
- What does the head-to-head record show?
- In the last five head-to-head matches, the home team has never won, there have been 2 draws, and the away team has won 3 times. La Jeunesse have lost both home matches against Gicumbi in this period.