La Piedad Queretaro - Atletico Huejutla prediction 30 September 2026

The La Piedad Queretaro vs Atletico Huejutla prediction for this Liga TDP match on September 30, 2026, at 23:00 points to a home win. Based on our win probability analysis, La Piedad Queretaro has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Atletico Huejutla has a 25% chance.

Team Form

La Piedad Queretaro comes into this match with a decent run of results, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 0-0 draw away at Estudiantes de Queretaro on Sep 18. Before that, they secured back-to-back away wins against Celaya Linces (3-1) and Titanes de Queretaro (2-1). At home, they have been inconsistent, losing 0-1 to Estudiantes de Queretaro but beating Lobos ULMX II 1-0.

Atletico Huejutla is struggling badly, with four losses and one draw in their last five matches. Their last match ended in a heavy 5-1 defeat away at Halcones Negros on Apr 8. They also drew 1-1 with Centro de Formacion Chaco Gimenez. Defensive issues are clear, conceding 5, 5, 9, and 3 goals in four of those matches.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record available between La Piedad Queretaro and Atletico Huejutla. This will be their first meeting, making form and league standing the primary indicators for this prediction.

League Table Positions

Specific league table positions and points are not available in the provided data. However, the contrasting recent form strongly suggests La Piedad Queretaro is in a better position within the Liga TDP than Atletico Huejutla, who have been shipping goals at an alarming rate.

Win Probability: La Piedad Queretaro or Atletico Huejutla?

La Piedad Queretaro has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Atletico Huejutla has a 25% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.05, draw 2.30, away 2.90) as a base, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. We then adjusted for team form: La Piedad Queretaro's two recent wins and stability give them a clear edge, while Atletico Huejutla's poor defensive record and four losses in five matches significantly reduce their chances. The lack of H2H data adds some uncertainty, but the home advantage for La Piedad Queretaro further tilts the probability in their favor.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds from the data show variation: one bookmaker has the home win at 2.50, the draw at 2.30, and the away win at 3.10; another offers 2.05 for a home win, 3.50 for the draw, and 2.90 for an away win. The best available odds imply La Piedad Queretaro is the favorite. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a home win for La Piedad Queretaro, but a draw cannot be ruled out given Atletico Huejutla managed one in their recent run. A bet on La Piedad Queretaro to win offers value considering the gulf in form.