Lahti - Mariehamn prediction 8 September 2026
Lahti
MariehamnLahti
TPS TurkuSeinajoen JKLahtiLahtiJaroIlvesLahtiLahtiMariehamnVPS VaasaLahtiSeinajoen JKLahtiLahtiKuPSInter TurkuLahtiLahtiJaroIlvesLahtiMariehamnLahtiLahtiHJK HelsinkiLahtiGnistanAC OuluLahtiJaroMariehamnMariehamnIlvesSeinajoen JKMariehamnMariehamnTPS TurkuLahtiMariehamnMariehamnJaroKuPSMariehamnMariehamnSeinajoen JKIlvesMariehamnTPS TurkuMariehamnMariehamnAC OuluMariehamnLahtiGnistanMariehamnVPS VaasaMariehamnMariehamnInter Turku- 5NรญcolasD
- 27R. YapiD
- 18Y. CassubieM
- 10O. KoskinenM
- 8Tรฒfol MontielM
- 25T. InkinenD
- 11Martim FerreiraF
- 9A. LindholmF
- 12O. MaukonenG
- 77M. SarrF
- 4J. MullerD
- 12A. Hakala
- 7D. Heikkinen
- 20J. Ojanen
- 17A. Belabid
- 14E. Andersson
- 17L. Jarvinen
- 41Aleksi Paalanen
- 6V. Vehkonen
- 28A. Kabashi
- 2N. NurmiD
- 19T. JakobsenF
- 20E. PatutM
- 5T. KoivistoD
- 8J. van der HeydenM
- 53F. GyamfiD
- 1K. LundG
- 11J. SvedbergM
- 23V. WidlundM
- 31Samson NgulubeD
- 14Arvid BergvikF
- 64M. Hyvรถnen
- 18A. Stroud
- 43L. Andersson
- 3A. Soiniemi
- 12O. Heino
- 26M. Jansson
- 16A. Huttunen
- 38'EventA. Lindholm
- 60'EventJ. van der Heyden
- 61'EventArvid Bergvik
- 61'EventV. Widlund
LahtiMariehamnMariehamnLahtiMariehamnLahtiLahtiMariehamnMariehamnLahtiLahtiMariehamnMariehamnLahtiLahtiMariehamnMariehamnLahtiMariehamnLahtiLahtiMariehamnMariehamnLahtiMariehamnLahtiLahtiMariehamnMariehamnLahtiLahtiMariehamnMariehamnLahtiLahtiMariehamnMariehamnLahtiMariehamnLahtiMariehamnLahtiMariehamnLahtiLahtiMariehamnLahtiMariehamnLahtiMariehamnLahtiMariehamnMariehamnLahtiMariehamnLahtiLahtiMariehamnLahtiMariehamnLahtiMariehamnLahtiMariehamnMariehamnLahti| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KuPS | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38:23 | +15 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29:16 | +13 | 42 |
| 3 |  HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36:27 | +9 | 37 |
| 4 |  Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36:29 | +7 | 36 |
| 5 |  AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 |  VPS Vaasa | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29:22 | +7 | 33 |
| 7 | Lahti | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 26:19 | +7 | 32 |
| 8 |  TPS Turku | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:23 | +5 | 31 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 25 |
| 10 |  Seinajoen JK | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 19 |
| 11 |  Jaro | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18:44 | -26 | 15 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17:43 | -26 | 14 |
Lahti vs Mariehamn Prediction (Sep 08)
The Lahti vs Mariehamn prediction for this Veikkausliiga clash on Sep 08 at 15:00 points towards a home victory at Lahden Stadion. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, Lahti enters the match as the clear favorite with a 58% win probability, while Mariehamn faces an uphill battle at 16%.
Team Form
Lahti's recent form shows strong momentum with three wins in their last five outings (W, W, L, D, W). They secured impressive away victories against VPS Vaasa (0-1) and Seinajoen JK (1-2), and a solid home win over Jaro (2-0). The only setback was a narrow 1-2 home loss to league leaders KuPS.
Mariehamn's form is more inconsistent (W, W, W, L, L). They recorded three consecutive wins, including a stunning 2-4 away victory at KuPS and a 2-0 home win over Seinajoen JK. However, back-to-back away defeats against Ilves (2-0) and TPS Turku (3-0) highlight their vulnerability on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The historical head-to-head record favors Lahti: 16 wins to Mariehamn's 9, with 7 draws. Recent encounters reinforce this trend. Lahti won the last two meetings, both away at Mariehamn, with scores of 0-2 in the Veikkausliiga on Jul 20 and 0-1 in the Cup on May 26. The most recent match at Lahden Stadion ended in a 1-1 draw on May 10. Mariehamn's last win in this fixture was a 4-0 victory in the Ykkoscup back in March 2026.
League Table Positions
Lahti sits 7th in the Veikkausliiga with 32 points from 22 matches (9 wins, 5 draws, 8 losses), boasting a solid defensive record with only 19 goals conceded. Mariehamn is struggling in 12th place with just 14 points (3 wins, 5 draws, 14 losses) and a goal difference of -26. The 18-point gap between the two sides underscores the gulf in class this season. Lahti's away form ranks 7th, while Mariehamn's away record is not listed in the top 8, indicating significant travel struggles.
Win Probability: Lahti or Mariehamn?
Calculating the win probability from the available odds and performance data, Lahti has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 26%, and Mariehamn has a 16% chance. This assessment uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.55, draw 4.12, away 6.00), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and adjusts for Lahti's superior league position, recent head-to-head dominance, and Mariehamn's poor away form. Lahti is the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Lahti as the strong favorite. The best available odds for a home win are as low as 1.55, while a draw is priced around 4.12 and an away win for Mariehamn reaches 6.00. Based on the stats, a home win is the most probable outcome. Lahti's defensive solidity and Mariehamn's scoring difficulties on the road suggest a low-scoring affair, but the value lies with the favorite to secure all three points.
Lahti vs Mariehamn โ FAQ
- Who will win Lahti vs Mariehamn?
- Lahti is the most likely winner with a 58% probability. Mariehamn has only a 16% chance of victory, while the draw is estimated at 26%. This is based on Lahti's stronger league position, recent head-to-head wins, and Mariehamn's struggles away from home.
- What is the win probability for Lahti?
- Lahti has a 58% chance of winning this Veikkausliiga match. This high probability reflects their 7th-place standing, solid defensive record, and the fact they have won the last two meetings against Mariehamn without conceding a goal.
- When is the Lahti vs Mariehamn match?
- The match is scheduled for Sep 08 at 15:00 local time. It is a Veikkausliiga fixture and will be played at Lahden Stadion in Lahti, Finland.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are 1.55 for a Lahti home win, 4.12 for a draw, and 6.00 for a Mariehamn away win. These 1X2 odds confirm Lahti as the clear favorite in the betting markets.