Avro - Lancaster City prediction 7 October 2026
Avro
Lancaster CityAvro
HydeAvroAshton UnitedIlkeston TownAvroRedcar AthleticAvroAvroGuiseleyAvroLancaster CityGainsborough TrinityAvroAvroWitton AlbionFC United of ManchesterAvroAvroStockton TownAvroLeek TownHydeAvroAvroWorkingtonAlfreton TownAvroBamber BridgeAvroAFC EmleyLancaster CityLancaster CityLeek TownLancaster CityStockton TownWarrington TownLancaster CityAvroLancaster CityLancaster CityIlkeston TownWhitby TownLancaster CityCleethorpes TownLancaster CityLancaster CityCurzon AshtonLancaster CityWorkingtonGuiseleyLancaster CityBuryLancaster CityLancaster CityQuorn FCRedcar AthleticLancaster CityLancaster CityHydeAvroLancaster City| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Redcar Athletic | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 33:13 | +20 | 34 |
| 2 |  Cleethorpes Town | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:9 | +22 | 30 |
| 3 |  Guiseley | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 27:12 | +15 | 28 |
| 4 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 31:17 | +14 | 28 |
| 5 | Avro | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 37:27 | +10 | 28 |
| 6 |  Workington | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 26:25 | +1 | 24 |
| 7 |  Warrington Rylands | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:21 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 |  Warrington Town | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 23 |
| 9 |  Curzon Ashton | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24:17 | +7 | 22 |
| 10 |  Alfreton Town | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:17 | +4 | 20 |
| 11 | Lancaster City | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20:29 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 |  Bury | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:11 | +11 | 19 |
| 13 |  Whitby Town | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 22:37 | -15 | 19 |
| 14 |  AFC Emley | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 |  Hyde | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:29 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 |  Leek Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 14 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  Quorn FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 23:29 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18:28 | -10 | 12 |
| 20 |  FC United of Manchester | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 10 |
| 21 |  Bamber Bridge | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17:34 | -17 | 10 |
| 22 |  Ilkeston Town | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10:34 | -24 | 10 |
Avro vs Lancaster City Prediction (Oct 7)
Avro vs Lancaster City prediction for the Northern Premier League clash on October 7, 2026, at 19:45. Based on our analysis, Avro are the clear favorites with a 52% win probability, while Lancaster City have just a 20% chance of an away victory. The draw stands at 28%.
Team Form
Avro come into this match in strong form, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. They scored 15 goals in those five games, including a 5-3 home win over Stockton Town and a 4-3 away victory at FC United of Manchester. Their only recent defeat was a 0-2 home loss to Witton Albion in the FA Cup. At home in the league, Avro remain unbeaten with three wins and a draw, averaging over three goals per game.
Lancaster City's recent form is concerning. They have lost three of their last five matches, conceding 10 goals in those defeats. A 2-1 home win against Ilkeston Town and a 2-1 away win at Whitby Town were bright spots, but heavy losses to Cleethorpes Town (1-5) and Workington (0-3) highlight defensive frailties. On the road in the league, Lancaster City have won three and lost two, scoring just seven goals in five away games.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no head-to-head record between Avro and Lancaster City. This will be the first meeting between the two sides, so no historical data can influence the prediction.
League Table Positions
Avro sit 3rd in the Northern Premier League with 22 points from 9 matches (7 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). They have a game in hand on the top two and a goal difference of +12 (28 scored, 16 conceded). Lancaster City are 10th with 16 points from 11 games (5 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses) and a goal difference of -6 (13 scored, 19 conceded). The six-point gap and Avro's superior goal record underline the home side's advantage.
Win Probability: Avro or Lancaster City?
Avro has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Lancaster City has a 20% chance. These probabilities are calculated from bookmaker odds (inverse of average odds, normalized to remove the margin) and adjusted for team form, league standings, and home/away performance. Avro's unbeaten home record, higher league position, and Lancaster City's poor defensive form all point toward a home win being the most likely outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Avro as the clear favorite. The best available odds are around 1.58 for a home win, with the draw at 2.50โ3.95 and an away win at 4.20โ4.50. These odds imply a strong probability of an Avro victory. Based on the stats, Avro are the most likely winners. A home win is the recommended betting tip, but the draw cannot be ruled out given Lancaster City's occasional away resilience.
Avro vs Lancaster City โ FAQ
- Who will win Avro vs Lancaster City?
- Avro are the favorites with a 52% win probability, compared to 20% for Lancaster City and 28% for the draw. Their strong form and home advantage make them the likely winners.
- What is the win probability for Avro?
- Avro have a 52% chance of winning this match. This is based on odds, their 3rd place standing, and a home record of three wins and a draw from four games.
- When is the Avro vs Lancaster City match?
- The match is on October 7, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It is a Northern Premier League fixture in England.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer odds around 1.58โ2.05 for an Avro win, 2.50โ3.95 for the draw, and 4.20โ4.50 for a Lancaster City win. These odds reflect Avro's favorite status.
- What is the head-to-head record between Avro and Lancaster City?
- There is no head-to-head record as these teams have not met before. This will be their first encounter.