Lanus - Estudiantes La Plata prediction 22 September 2026

This Lanus vs Estudiantes La Plata prediction covers the Primera Division match on Sep 22 at 01:15. Lanus are the slight home favourite, with a 40% win probability, while the draw is 30% and Estudiantes La Plata also 30%. Read on for betting tips, team form, head-to-head data, odds, and the final prediction.

Team Form

Lanus come into this match with two wins from their last five (W-W-L-D-L). On Sep 14 they beat Deportivo Riestra 0-3 away, and on Sep 6 they won 1-0 at home against Defensa y Justicia. Before that they lost 0-1 to Boca Juniors, drew 1-1 with Argentinos Juniors, and lost 1-3 to CA Independiente.

Estudiantes La Plata also have two wins in their last five (W-W-D-L-D). They won 0-1 away at Corinthians SP in the Copa Libertadores on Sep 17 and beat CA Platense Buenos Aires 2-1 at home on Sep 12. Their last Primera Division away match ended in a 1-0 defeat at Velez Sarsfield.

Head-to-Head Record

The last five meetings between these sides have been split evenly: Lanus won twice, Estudiantes La Plata won twice, and one match ended 1-1. In the most recent meeting, on Mar 13, 2026, Lanus won 0-1 away at Estudiantes La Plata in the Primera Division.

Looking at the broader recorded head-to-head, Lanus have 3 wins, there have been 6 draws, and Estudiantes La Plata have 2 wins. Draws have been a frequent outcome in this fixture, which supports the 30% draw probability.

League Table Positions

Estudiantes La Plata are 2nd in the Primera Division overall standings with 31 points from 16 matches (9 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). They have scored 19 goals and conceded only 7. Lanus are 12th with 24 points from 16 matches (6 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses), scoring 18 and conceding 15.

In the away standings, Estudiantes La Plata sit 2nd with 15 points from 8 away games (4 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss) and have conceded just 3 away goals. Lanus do not appear in the top eight of the home standings, which suggests their home form is not as strong as their overall record.

Win Probability: Lanus vs Estudiantes La Plata Prediction

This Lanus vs Estudiantes La Plata prediction is based on odds, form, head-to-head record, league positions, and home advantage. Lanus has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Estudiantes La Plata has a 30% chance. The base 1X2 odds of 2.27 / 3.04 / 4.03 imply a normalized probability of about 43% for a Lanus win, 32% for the draw, and 24% for an Estudiantes win. We adjusted the away figure upwards because Estudiantes are 2nd overall and 2nd in the away table, while lowering Lanus’ probability due to their 12th-place overall position.

Who will win? Lanus are the pick at home, but this is far from certain. Estudiantes La Plata’s strong defence and away record give them a realistic chance of taking points.

Odds & Match Prediction

The Lanus vs Estudiantes La Plata prediction odds vary by bookmaker. One listed set has Lanus to win at 2.27, the draw at 3.04, and Estudiantes La Plata at 4.03. Other markets list Lanus as low as 2.10, with the away win between 3.75 and 4.50. Bookmakers see Lanus as the favourite, but not by a wide margin.

Our final Lanus vs Estudiantes La Plata prediction: Lanus double chance or draw no bet is the safer betting tip, while the outright 1X2 leans to Lanus at 40% probability. Under/over markets are not covered in the supplied data, so stick to match outcome bets based on the stats above.