Newells Old Boys - Lanus prediction 3 October 2026

The Newells Old Boys vs Lanus prediction for this Primera Division clash on Oct 3 at 21:00 points towards a tight contest at Estadio Marcelo Belsa. Based on the latest odds and team form, the draw is the most probable outcome at 38%, with Newells Old Boys holding a slight edge at 32% to win over Lanus at 30%.

Team Form

Newells Old Boys come into this match unbeaten in their last five outings, recording two wins and three draws. Their most recent result was a 1-0 away victory at CA Platense Buenos Aires on Sep 20. At home, they drew 1-1 with Velez Sarsfield on Sep 11 and beat Banfield 2-1 on Aug 23.

Lanus have been in strong form as well, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five. They secured a 2-1 home win against Estudiantes La Plata on Sep 22 and a dominant 3-0 away win at Deportivo Riestra on Sep 14. Their only recent defeat came against Boca Juniors on Aug 29.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last five meetings, Newells Old Boys have won three times, Lanus have won once, and there has been one draw. The most recent encounter saw Lanus thrash Newells Old Boys 5-0 at home on Mar 17, 2026. However, Newells Old Boys won the previous three clashes, including a 2-0 home victory in a Cup match on Aug 17, 2022.

League Table Positions

Lanus sit 12th in the overall Primera Division standings with 24 points from 16 matches, having scored 18 goals and conceded 15. Newells Old Boys are not listed in the top 12 of the available table data, suggesting they are lower in the rankings. Lanus' away form is not detailed in the provided standings, but their overall record shows a balanced performance with six wins, six draws, and four losses.

Win Probability: Newells Old Boys or Lanus?

Newells Old Boys has a 32% chance of winning, the draw is at 38%, and Lanus has a 30% chance. These probabilities are derived from the inverse of the best available odds (home 2.80, draw 1.90, away 2.95), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted slightly for Newells Old Boys' home advantage and unbeaten run. The draw is the standout result based on the exceptionally low odds of 1.90, reflecting bookmakers' expectations of a stalemate.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see the draw as the most likely outcome, offering odds as low as 1.90. The best odds for a Newells Old Boys win are 2.90, while a Lanus victory is priced at 3.15. Based on the stats, the most probable result is a draw. Newells Old Boys' solid home form and Lanus' recent scoring prowess suggest both teams could find the net, but the value lies in the stalemate.