Niki Volou - Larissa prediction 3 October 2026
Niki Volou
Larissa
Apollon Pontou KalamariasNiki VolouNiki VolouPanioniosHellas SyrosNiki VolouNiki VolouLarissaNiki VolouNestos ChrisoupolisPanthrakikosNiki VolouNiki VolouAsteras TripolisNiki VolouOlympiacos Piraeus BPAE Athens KallitheaNiki VolouPanathinaikosNiki VolouNiki VolouPanioniosNiki VolouAsteras Tripolis BIraklis 1908Niki VolouNiki VolouAnagennisi KarditsasAsteras Tripolis BNiki VolouPAE Athens KallitheaLarissaLarissaPanserraikosMarkoLarissaNiki VolouLarissaLarissaPAOK BPas Pyrgos 1968LarissaKalamataLarissaLarissaZakynthosLarissaAnagennisi KarditsasLarissaOlympiacos PiraeusPAE Athens KallitheaLarissaTrikala 2011LarissaKifisiasLarissaLarissaAtromitosPanaitolikosLarissaNiki VolouLarissaLarissaNiki VolouNiki VolouLarissaNiki VolouLarissaNiki VolouLarissa| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Marko | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | +7 | 19 |
| 2 |  PAE Athens Kallithea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |  Panionios | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Panserraikos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Larissa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 | Niki Volou | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Hellas Syros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Panthrakikos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Anagennisi Karditsas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Asteras Tripolis B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Nestos Chrisoupolis | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |  Apollon Pontou Kalamarias | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  PAOK B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Olympiacos Piraeus B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 |  Pas Pyrgos 1968 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Zakynthos | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
Niki Volou vs Larissa Prediction (Oct 3)
The Niki Volou vs Larissa prediction for this Super League 2 clash on Oct 3, 2026, at 12:45 sees the visitors as slight favourites despite bookmakers pricing a draw as the most likely outcome. Our win probability model gives Larissa a 40% chance of victory, Niki Volou 20%, and the draw 40%, reflecting the away side's superior form and head-to-head dominance.
Team Form
Niki Volou come into this match in poor shape, with just one win in their last five outings (W, L, L, L, L). That sole victory was a 2-0 home success against Nestos Chrisoupolis on Sep 27. Defeats to Panthrakikos (0-1), Asteras Tripolis (0-3 in the Cup), Olympiacos Piraeus B (1-2), and PAE Athens Kallithea (1-2) highlight defensive frailties and a lack of consistency.
Larissa, by contrast, are unbeaten in their last five matches (W, W, D, W, D). They recorded league wins over PAOK B (1-0) and Pas Pyrgos 1968 (4-0 away), plus a cup draw at Kalamata (1-1). With only one goal conceded in their last four league games, they arrive with momentum and a rock-solid backline.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favours Larissa. In four previous meetings, Niki Volou have failed to win (0 victories), with two draws and two Larissa wins. The most recent encounter on Dec 22, 2024, ended in a commanding 3-0 home win for Larissa. Earlier that season, the sides played out a 3-3 thriller at Niki Volou. Overall, Larissa have scored 8 goals to Niki Volou's 4 in this fixture.
League Table Positions
The Super League 2 standings underline the gulf between the teams. Larissa sit 2nd with 10 points from 4 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), boasting a goal difference of +6 (7 scored, 1 conceded). Niki Volou are 12th with just 3 points (1 win, 3 losses) and a negative goal difference (4 scored, 5 conceded). Larissa's away record is perfect: one win from one trip, scoring 4 and conceding none.
Win Probability: Niki Volou or Larissa?
After removing the bookmaker margin from the average odds and adjusting for recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probabilities are: Niki Volou 20%, Draw 40%, Larissa 40%. The odds initially implied a draw was most likely (around 46% raw probability), but Larissa's strong away performances and Niki Volou's slump shift the balance. While the draw remains a very realistic outcome, Larissa are the more probable winner โ they have a 40% chance compared to the hosts' 20%.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' pre-match odds show a tight market. The best available prices are around 2.80โ3.00 for a Niki Volou win, 1.91โ1.95 for the draw, and 3.40โ4.15 for a Larissa victory. The short draw odds confirm that the market expects a closely fought contest. Based on the stats, our Niki Volou vs Larissa prediction is an away win or draw double chance, with Larissa likely to avoid defeat. A 1-1 or 0-1 scoreline would fit the data patterns.
Niki Volou vs Larissa โ FAQ
- Who will win Niki Volou vs Larissa?
- Larissa have a 40% chance of winning, while Niki Volou's win probability is 20%. The draw is also at 40%, making this a very evenly poised match according to our model.
- What is the win probability for Larissa?
- Larissa hold a 40% win probability. This reflects their excellent recent form (three wins and two draws in the last five matches) and a dominant head-to-head record, where they have never lost to Niki Volou in four meetings.
- When is the Niki Volou vs Larissa match?
- The match kicks off on Oct 3, 2026, at 12:45 local time. It is a Greek Super League 2 fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Pre-match odds range from 2.80 to 3.00 for a Niki Volou home win, 1.91 to 1.95 for a draw, and 3.40 to 4.15 for a Larissa away victory. The draw is the bookmakers' favourite outcome.
- What is the head-to-head record between Niki Volou and Larissa?
- In four previous encounters, Larissa have won twice and drawn twice. Niki Volou are yet to beat Larissa. The most recent match on Dec 22, 2024, ended 3-0 to Larissa.