Montenegro - Latvia prediction 12 November 2026
Montenegro
LatviaMontenegro
ArmeniaLatviaMontenegroArmeniaMontenegroMontenegroCyprusSlovakiaMontenegroBulgariaMontenegroMontenegroSloveniaMontenegroAndorraMontenegroLiechtensteinMontenegroArmeniaMontenegroTurkeyMontenegroIcelandWalesMontenegroMontenegroNorth MacedoniaBelarusMontenegroCyprusLatviaLatviaMontenegroLatviaCyprusArmeniaLatviaLatviaGibraltarGibraltarLatviaNorth MacedoniaLatviaLatviaAzerbaijanLatviaArmeniaNorth MacedoniaLatviaFaroe IslandsLatviaLatviaLiechtensteinCyprusLatviaPolandLatviaIrelandLatviaLatviaMontenegroMontenegroLatviaLatviaMontenegroLatviaMontenegroMontenegroLatvia| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |  Switzerland | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 |
| 6 |  Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 |
| 10 |  Bosnia-Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Finland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 |
| 13 |  Malta | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Iceland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Slovakia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Cyprus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 |
| 17 |  Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 |
| 19 |  England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 20 |  Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 21 |  Albania | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 |
| 22 |  Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 |
| 23 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 24 |  Estonia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 |
| 25 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 26 |  Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 |
| 27 |  Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 |
| 28 |  Slovenia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 29 |  Lithuania | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 |
| 30 |  Faroe Islands | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 31 |  Armenia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 32 |  Belarus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 |
| 33 |  Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Moldova | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 35 |  Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 |
| 36 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 37 |  Luxembourg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 38 |  Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 39 |  Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 |  Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 42 |  Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 43 |  Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 44 |  Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
| 45 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 46 |  Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 47 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 48 |  Bulgaria | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 49 |  North Macedonia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
| 50 |  San Marino | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 |
| 51 |  Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 |
| 52 |  Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 53 |  Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 |
| 54 |  Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Latvia vs Montenegro Prediction (Oct 2)
The UEFA Nations League fixture between Latvia and Montenegro on Oct 2, 2026 brings a clear favorite. Based on odds, team form, and head-to-head data, Montenegro holds a 50% win probability, the draw stands at 30%, and Latvia has a 20% chance. The match at Skonto Stadium in Riga kicks off at 17:00, with Montenegro aiming to extend their unbeaten run against Latvia.
Team Form
Latviaโs last five results: D, L, W, W, D. They drew 0-0 at home with Cyprus and away to North Macedonia, lost 2-0 at Armenia, and recorded 1-0 victories over Gibraltar at home and away. The attack has struggled, producing only two goals in those five outings.
Montenegro enters on a W, W, D, W, L run. They won 3-2 away at Armenia, beat Cyprus 2-1 at home, drew 2-2 in Slovakia, won 1-0 in Bulgaria, and fell 2-3 at home to Slovenia. The side has scored 10 goals across the last five matches, showing much greater offensive threat than Latvia.
Head-to-Head Record
The all-time series shows Latvia 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 Montenegro wins. In the 2021 World Cup qualifiers, Montenegro drew 0-0 at home and won 2-1 in Riga. A 2020 friendly ended 1-1 in Montenegro. Latvia has never beaten Montenegro in four attempts.
League Table Positions
Montenegro tops the UEFA Nations League standings provided, having 6 points from 2 matches (2 wins, 5 goals scored, 3 conceded). Latvia does not appear in the top 12 of any table segment, underlining a weaker competitive position in the group stage.
Win Probability: Latvia or Montenegro?
After normalizing the inverse of bookmaker odds and adjusting for form, H2H, and home advantage, the outcome probabilities are: Latvia win 20%, draw 30%, Montenegro win 50%. Montenegroโs superior form, unbeaten head-to-head record, and higher league standing make them the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Odds across bookmakers range from 4.20 to 5.00 for a Latvia home win, 2.05 to 3.56 for a draw, and 1.88 to 2.40 for a Montenegro away win. Bookmakers clearly see Montenegro as the favorite. Based on the stats, the most realistic outcome is a Montenegro victory, keeping their perfect record against Latvia intact.
Latvia vs Montenegro โ FAQ
- Who will win Latvia vs Montenegro?
- Montenegro is the predicted winner with a 50% probability. A draw is priced at 30%, while Latviaโs win chance is only 20%. The numbers rely on odds, recent form, and a 4-match head-to-head record where Montenegro has never lost.
- What is the win probability for Montenegro?
- Montenegro carries a 50% win probability for the Oct 2 match. This figure comes from bookmaker implied odds adjusted by Montenegroโs stronger form (three wins in five) and a 2W-2D-0L head-to-head advantage against Latvia.
- When is the Latvia vs Montenegro match?
- The match takes place on October 2, 2026, at 17:00 local time. It is a UEFA Nations League group stage game held at Skonto Stadium in Riga.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer odds around 4.20โ5.00 for a Latvia home victory, 2.05โ3.56 for a draw, and 1.88โ2.40 for a Montenegro away win. The market consistently values Montenegro as the favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Latvia and Montenegro?
- In 4 previous meetings, Latvia has 0 wins, 2 draws, and Montenegro has 2 wins. The last clash was a 0-0 draw in the 2021 World Cup qualifiers; Montenegro won 2-1 in their only visit to Riga.