Venezia - Lazio prediction 19 September 2026

The Venezia vs Lazio prediction points to an away win when these two sides meet in Serie A on Sep 19, 2026, at 18:45. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Lazio enters the match as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, while Venezia struggles at the bottom of the table.

Team Form

Venezia are in disastrous form, losing their last five matches across all competitions. They fell 2-4 at home to Fiorentina, lost 2-3 at Frosinone, were beaten 1-2 by Udinese in the Cup, suffered a 0-2 defeat at AC Milan, and lost 0-2 at home to Lecce. The team has conceded 13 goals in those five games and scored only 5.

Lazio, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last four Serie A fixtures. They drew 2-2 at home against AC Milan, won 2-1 at Udinese, beat Genoa 1-0 at home, and secured a 1-0 victory at Bologna. A 0-2 home loss to Mantova in the Cup is the only recent blemish, but in the league Lazio have taken 10 points from a possible 12.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last four meetings between these clubs, Venezia have never won. Lazio have claimed three victories, and one match ended in a draw. The most recent clash on Feb 22, 2025, finished 0-0 at this stadium. Prior to that, Lazio won 1-0 and 3-1 in Venice and 1-0 at home. The overall H2H record shows 0 Venezia wins, 1 draw, and 3 Lazio wins.

League Table Positions

Lazio sit 3rd in the Serie A table with 10 points from 4 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). They have scored 6 goals and conceded only 3. Venezia are not even in the top 12 of the standings, indicating a position near the relegation zone. Lazio’s away form is perfect: 2 wins from 2 away games, with 3 goals scored and 1 conceded. Venezia’s home record is poor, with no points shown in the available home standings.

Win Probability: Venezia or Lazio?

After analyzing the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probabilities for this match are: Venezia 15%, draw 30%, Lazio 55%. Bookmakers initially implied a closer contest, but Venezia’s five-match losing streak and Lazio’s unbeaten league run heavily shift the balance. Lazio’s dominance in past meetings and their strong away form make them the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for a Venezia home win range from 3.25 to 4.00, the draw is priced between 2.18 and 3.70, and a Lazio away victory stands between 2.04 and 2.45. Bookmakers see Lazio as the favorite, and our prediction aligns with that view. Based on the stats, Lazio to win is the most probable outcome.