As Roma Women - Lazio Women prediction 3 October 2026

As Roma Women vs Lazio Women prediction for the Serie A Women clash on Oct 3, 2026, at 17:00. Our analysis gives As Roma Women a 58% chance of winning, while Lazio Women sit at just 14% — making the home side clear favorites based on form, head-to-head dominance, and bookmaker odds.

Team Form

As Roma Women come into this match with a mixed but overall positive recent record. Their last five results show three wins, one draw, and one loss (L, W, D, W, W). The most recent outing was a heavy 0-6 defeat to Barcelona Women in the UEFA Champions League, but before that they beat Sassuolo Women 3-1 away, drew 0-0 with Oud Heverlee Leuven, and recorded friendly and cup wins over Ternana Women (3-1) and Juventus Women (1-0).

Lazio Women have been less consistent, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five (D, L, W, W, L). They drew 0-0 at home to Parma Calcio Women in their most recent match, lost 1-2 to Fiorentina Women, then beat Ternana Women 2-0 and Parma Calcio 3-1, before a 0-3 defeat to Sassuolo Women. The away side’s form is patchy, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors As Roma Women. In the last six meetings across all competitions, As Roma Women have won five and drawn one, with Lazio Women yet to register a victory. The most recent encounter on Mar 21, 2026, ended 2-1 to As Roma Women. Earlier in 2026, Roma won 3-0 in the Cup Women, and the two sides played a 0-0 draw in the same competition. The overall H2H stats read: As Roma Women 5 wins, 1 draw, Lazio Women 0 wins.

League Table Positions

Only one matchday has been played in the Serie A Women so far. As Roma Women sit 2nd with 3 points after a 3-1 away win over Sassuolo Women. Lazio Women are 6th with 1 point following a 0-0 home draw against Parma Calcio Women. The early standings already hint at a gap in quality, with Roma’s attack firing and Lazio yet to score.

Win Probability: As Roma Women or Lazio Women?

Based on the available data, we calculate the following outcome probabilities:

• As Roma Women win: 58%
• Draw: 28%
• Lazio Women win: 14%

These percentages are derived from the bookmaker odds (home 1.80, draw 2.60, away 6.50), normalized to remove the margin, then adjusted for the home side’s superior form, the one-sided head-to-head record, and the early league table advantage. As Roma Women’s probability is significantly higher than the raw implied odds suggest, reflecting their dominance in this fixture.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see As Roma Women as the clear favorites. The best available odds at the time of writing are around 1.80 for a home win, 2.60 for the draw, and 6.50 for an away win. These odds imply a strong likelihood of a Roma victory, and our analysis supports that. Considering the head-to-head history and current form, the most likely outcome is an As Roma Women win. A draw cannot be ruled out, but Lazio Women would need a significant upset to take all three points.

Prediction: As Roma Women to win.