Deportivo Saprissa - LD Alajuelense prediction 1 November 2026

LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa prediction for the Primera Division clash on Sep 06, 2026, at 02:00 at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, a draw is the most likely outcome with a 38% probability, while LD Alajuelense has a 36% chance of winning and Deportivo Saprissa 26%.

Team Form

LD Alajuelense's recent form (last 5 matches):

• Draw 1-1 vs Municipal Perez Zeledon (A)
• Loss 0-1 vs AD San Carlos (H)
• Win 2-1 vs Marineros de Puntarenas (H)
• Win 3-0 vs Herediano (A)
• Win 2-1 vs CD Escorpiones Belen (H)

Deportivo Saprissa's recent form:

• Win 2-1 vs CD Escorpiones Belen (H)
• Loss 0-1 vs Inter San Carlos (A)
• Win 3-2 vs CS Cartagines (H)
• Win 2-0 vs Marineros de Puntarenas (A)
• Win 2-1 vs AD San Carlos (H)

Both teams are in good form, with Saprissa winning four of their last five and Alajuelense three.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record between LD Alajuelense and Deportivo Saprissa across all competitions shows 16 home wins for Alajuelense, 29 draws, and 22 away wins for Saprissa. The last five meetings:

• Apr 19, 2026: LD Alajuelense 1-1 Deportivo Saprissa
• Feb 22, 2026: Deportivo Saprissa 2-1 LD Alajuelense
• Dec 21, 2025: LD Alajuelense 3-1 Deportivo Saprissa
• Dec 18, 2025: Deportivo Saprissa 2-2 LD Alajuelense
• Oct 20, 2025: LD Alajuelense 2-0 Deportivo Saprissa

In the last five encounters, Alajuelense has two wins, two draws, and one loss, indicating a slight edge at home.

League Table Positions

In the Primera Division standings, Deportivo Saprissa tops the table with 15 points from 6 matches (5 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss). LD Alajuelense sits 4th with 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). At home, Alajuelense has 6 points from 3 games (2 wins, 1 loss), while Saprissa's away record shows 3 points from 2 games (1 win, 1 loss).

Win Probability: LD Alajuelense or Deportivo Saprissa?

Using the latest odds (home win 2.25, draw 2.15, away win 3.20) and removing the bookmaker margin, the implied probabilities are: LD Alajuelense win 36.36%, draw 38.06%, Deportivo Saprissa win 25.57%. After factoring in the high number of draws in head-to-head history (29 of 67 matches), both teams' recent form, and the home advantage for Alajuelense, we round these to: Alajuelense 36%, draw 38%, Saprissa 26%. Therefore, a draw is the most probable outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set the odds for this match at 2.25 for a home win, 2.15 for a draw, and 3.20 for an away win. Based on the stats, our LD Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa prediction is a draw is the most likely result with a 38% probability. For betting tips, the draw market offers value given the historical pattern. If you're looking for a winner, LD Alajuelense holds a slight edge at home (36% vs 26%).