Leandro Niceforo Alem - CSR Espanol prediction 6 October 2026

Leandro Niceforo Alem vs CSR Espanol prediction for the Primera C Metropolitana match on Oct 6, 2026, at 18:00. Based on the stats, bookmakers see CSR Espanol as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while the draw stands at 40% and Leandro Niceforo Alem has just a 15% chance.

Team Form

Leandro Niceforo Alem come into this match with a poor run of results. Their last five matches show one win, one draw, and three losses (W, L, D, L, L). The most recent outing was a 2-1 away win against Justo Jose Urquiza on Sep 28, but that followed a 0-1 home defeat to Club Mercedes and a 4-1 thrashing at Deportivo Paraguayo. At home, they have lost two of their last three, conceding seven goals in those defeats.

CSR Espanol have been more stable, with one win, one loss, and three draws in their last five (W, L, D, D, D). They beat Defensores de Cambaceres 2-0 at home on Sep 28, but lost 2-0 away at Juventud Unida San Miguel before that. The three consecutive draws—1-1 against CA Fenix Pilar, 1-1 with Sacachispas, and 1-1 at Argentino de Rosario—highlight a team that is hard to beat but struggles to turn draws into wins.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced after two meetings. Leandro Niceforo Alem have one win, CSR Espanol have one win, and there have been no draws. The most recent clash was on Jun 6, 2026, when CSR Espanol won 3-0 at home. The earlier fixture, on Mar 23, 2024, saw Leandro Niceforo Alem win 1-0 at home. So home advantage has played a key role in this fixture so far.

League Table Positions

CSR Espanol sit 11th in the Primera C Metropolitana overall standings with 44 points from 30 matches (11 wins, 11 draws, 8 losses). They have scored 37 goals and conceded 27. Leandro Niceforo Alem are outside the top 12, which indicates a lower position and fewer points. The gap in league standing clearly favors the away side.

Win Probability: Leandro Niceforo Alem or CSR Espanol?

Leandro Niceforo Alem has a 15% chance of winning, the draw is at 40%, and CSR Espanol has a 45% chance. These probabilities are calculated by taking the average bookmaker odds (home 6.88, draw 2.31, away 1.85), removing the margin, and then adjusting for recent form, head-to-head results, league table positions, and home advantage. The away team’s higher ranking and more consistent form give them the edge, but their tendency to draw—three in the last five—lifts the draw probability significantly. Leandro Niceforo Alem’s poor form and low table position make a home win unlikely, despite their previous home victory in this fixture.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have set the following 1X2 odds for this match: home win around 6.90, draw around 2.32, and away win around 1.85. These odds reflect CSR Espanol as the clear favorite. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is an away win, but the high draw probability suggests a tight contest. Our prediction: CSR Espanol to win, but a draw is a very realistic alternative.