Leca - AD Marco 09 prediction 10 October 2026
Leca
AD Marco 09
Pacos FerreiraLecaPenafielLecaLecaAD Marco 09Mortagua FCLecaTrofenseLecaLecaFafeParedesLecaVitoria Guimaraes BLecaLecaSao Joao VerLecaLusitania LourosaLecaVitoria de SernacheLecaBragancaRebordosaLecaVianenseLecaBragancaLecaAD Marco 09FafeFarenseAD Marco 09LecaAD Marco 09AD Marco 09Maia LidadorAD Marco 09Vitoria Guimaraes BSao Joao VerAD Marco 09ReguaAD Marco 09AD Marco 09VianenseVarzimAD Marco 09AD Marco 09Pacos FerreiraCinfaesAD Marco 09ParedesAD Marco 09AD Marco 09Sporting Braga BAD Marco 09FafeSao Joao VerAD Marco 09LecaAD Marco 09AD Marco 09LecaLecaAD Marco 09AD Marco 09Leca| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CF Os Belenenses | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:5 | +11 | 17 |
| 2 |  Paredes | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Atletico Clube de Portugal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 | AD Marco 09 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 11 |
| 5 |  Fafe | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | +4 | 10 |
| 6 |  UD Oliveirense | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 |  UD Santarem | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 8 | Leca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Mafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Sao Joao Ver | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 |  Vianense | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 |  Louletano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 |  Caldas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 |  Pacos Ferreira | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 |  Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 17 |  Sporting Covilha | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 |  Lusitano Ginasio Clube Evora | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:13 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Vitoria de Sernache | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
Leca vs AD Marco 09 Prediction (Oct 10)
Looking for a Leca vs AD Marco 09 prediction? The Tercera Liga fixture takes place on October 10, 2026, at 11:00. Bookmakers see a draw as the most likely outcome, assigning it a 40% probability, while both Leca and AD Marco 09 sit at 30% to win.
Team Form
Leca's last five results show a 3-2 record (W-W-L-W-L), with all wins coming away from home. They beat Mortagua FC 2-0, thrashed Trofense 4-1, and edged Paredes 2-1. However, a 0-3 home loss to Fafe and a 0-2 defeat at Vitoria Guimaraes B raise questions about consistency.
AD Marco 09 are in excellent shape, unbeaten in five (W-W-D-W-W) and yet to concede a single goal in that run. They recorded 1-0 home wins over Maia Lidador and Vitoria Guimaraes B, a 0-0 draw at Sao Joao Ver, a 0-1 cup win at Regua, and a 2-0 home victory against Vianense.
Head-to-Head Record
The last three meetings between Leca and AD Marco 09 produced two wins for Leca and one for AD Marco 09, with no draws. On April 27, 2025, Leca won 1-0 at home; on February 9, 2025, Leca won 0-1 away; and on May 18, 2025, AD Marco 09 claimed a 3-2 home victory.
League Table Positions
In the Tercera Liga overall standings, AD Marco 09 sit 3rd with 10 points (3W 1D 1L,6 goals scored,3 conceded), while Leca are 12th with 7 points (2W 1D 2L,7 scored,8 conceded). AD Marco 09 boast a perfect home record (3 wins), but their away form is unclear; they have at least one away draw. Leca's only league home match ended in defeat, yet their away record (6 points from three games) ranks 6th.
Win Probability: Leca or AD Marco 09?
After normalising the odds from five bookmakers and adjusting for recent form, head-to-head, and home/away factors, we calculate the following outcome probabilities: Leca win โ 30%, draw โ 40%, AD Marco 09 win โ 30%. The draw is the most probable result, reflecting the market's view and AD Marco 09's defensive solidity combined with Leca's home uncertainty. Both teams' win chances are equal, with Leca's slight H2H edge balanced by AD Marco 09's stronger league position and form.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer a diverse range of 1X2 odds: a home Leca win is priced from 2.15 to 2.82, the draw from 1.95 to 3.20, and an AD Marco 09 away win from 3.00 to 3.80. The short draw odds in several books underline its status as the favourite outcome. Taking all data into account, our Leca vs AD Marco 09 prediction is a draw โ likely a low-scoring encounter with AD Marco 09's streak of clean sheets continuing.
Leca vs AD Marco 09 โ FAQ
- Who will win Leca vs AD Marco 09?
- According to our win probability analysis, Leca has a 30% chance of winning, AD Marco 09 also has a 30% chance, and a draw is the most likely result at 40%. No clear winner can be called based on current data.
- What is the win probability for Leca?
- Leca has a 30% win probability for this match. Despite home advantage, their only home league game this season was a 0-3 loss to Fafe, and AD Marco 09's strong defence makes a home victory far from certain.
- When is the Leca vs AD Marco 09 match?
- The match is scheduled for October 10, 2026, kicking off at 11:00 local time. It is a Tercera Liga fixture in Portugal.
- What are the odds for Leca vs AD Marco 09?
- The pre-match 1X2 odds range from 2.15 to 2.82 for a Leca win, 1.95 to 3.20 for the draw, and 3.00 to 3.80 for an AD Marco 09 away win, depending on the bookmaker.
- What is the head-to-head record between Leca and AD Marco 09?
- In three previous meetings, Leca lead 2-1. They won 1-0 at home in April 2025 and 0-1 away in February 2025, while AD Marco 09 won 3-2 at home in May 2025. No match has ended in a draw.