Stal Rzeszow - Lechia Gdansk prediction 12 October 2026

Poland ยท I LigaFinished
Stal Rzeszow
1:2
FT
Lechia Gdansk
Match Info
CompetitionI Liga ยท Poland
Start date
Kick-off
Recent Form
Stal Rzeszow
L
W
L
D
W
Lechia Gdansk
L
W
W
W
W
Recent matches ยท Stal Rzeszow
I Liga
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala
Stal Rzeszow
21
L
I Liga
Pogon Siedlce
Stal Rzeszow
34
W
I Liga
Stal Rzeszow
Lechia Gdansk
12
L
Friendly Clubs
MFK Karvina
Stal Rzeszow
11
D
I Liga
Miedz Legnica
Stal Rzeszow
23
W
I Liga
Odra Opole
Stal Rzeszow
01
W
I Liga
Stal Rzeszow
Polonia Warszawa
21
W
Cup
Stal Rzeszow
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala
30
W
I Liga
Unia Skierniewice
Stal Rzeszow
01
W
I Liga
Stal Rzeszow
Ruch Chorzow
01
L
I Liga
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Stal Rzeszow
11
D
I Liga
Stal Mielec
Stal Rzeszow
11
D
I Liga
Arka Gdynia
Stal Rzeszow
40
L
I Liga
Stal Rzeszow
Chrobry Glogow
15
L
Friendly Clubs
Stal Rzeszow
Rukh Lviv
22
D
Recent matches ยท Lechia Gdansk
I Liga
Puszcza Niepolomice
Lechia Gdansk
21
L
I Liga
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
21
W
I Liga
Stal Rzeszow
Lechia Gdansk
12
W
Friendly Clubs
Ruch Chorzow
Lechia Gdansk
13
W
I Liga
Lechia Gdansk
Stal Mielec
71
W
I Liga
Lechia Gdansk
Miedz Legnica
21
W
I Liga
Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
21
L
Cup
Kluczbork
Lechia Gdansk
12
W
I Liga
Polonia Warszawa
Lechia Gdansk
24
W
I Liga
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Siedlce
10
W
I Liga
Ruch Chorzow
Lechia Gdansk
10
L
I Liga
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala
Lechia Gdansk
22
D
I Liga
Lechia Gdansk
Warta Poznan
03
L
I Liga
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
03
L
Friendly Clubs
Lechia Gdansk
Olimpia Grudziadz
13
L
Head-to-Head ยท summary
0
Stal Rzeszow
0
Draws
2
Lechia Gdansk
Previous meetings
I Liga
Stal Rzeszow
Lechia Gdansk
12
I Liga
Lechia Gdansk
Stal Rzeszow
21
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki1263319:11+821
2Ruch Chorzow1263316:11+521
3Polonia Warszawa1263319:14+521
4LKS Lodz1263315:11+421
5Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza1262419:17+220
6Lechia Gdansk1261522:19+319
7Miedz Legnica1253418:11+718
8Warta Poznan1260619:16+318
9Polonia Bytom1246220:20018
10Stal Rzeszow1252516:22-617
11Pogon Siedlce1243514:15-115
12Arka Gdynia1242616:16014
13Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala1228215:16-114
14Chrobry Glogow1234513:15-213
15Stal Mielec1234516:27-1113
16Puszcza Niepolomice1240813:17-412
17Odra Opole123368:13-512
18Unia Skierniewice1232713:20-711
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Stal Rzeszow vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction (Oct 12)

The Stal Rzeszow vs Lechia Gdansk prediction gives the home side a slight edge in this I Liga clash on Oct 12 at 17:00. Based on current form and the league table, Stal Rzeszow have a 39% win probability, while Lechia Gdansk trail closely at 36%, with a 25% chance of the draw.

Team Form

Stal Rzeszow are one of the most in-form sides in the league, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. Their only blip was a 1-1 friendly draw away at MFK Karvina; they've since beaten Miedz Legnica (3-2) and Odra Opole (1-0) on the road and taken care of business at home against Polonia Warszawa (2-1) and Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biala (3-0) in the Cup. Lechia Gdansk have also been strong, winning four of their last five, but their defeat at Bruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza (2-1) exposes some away fragility. Their recent home wins include a 7-1 thrashing of Stal Mielec and a 2-1 victory over Miedz Legnica.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is minimal, with just one previous meeting. Lechia Gdansk won that encounter 2-1 at home on Oct 28, 2023. With only one data point, the H2H provides little separation, though it suggests the away side can handle this matchup.

League Table Positions

Stal Rzeszow sit 8th in I Liga with 14 points from 9 games, while Lechia Gdansk are 9th with 13 points from 9 matches. The home side has a game in hand and a slightly better goal difference. Crucially, the away standings reveal Stal Rzeszow are the league's best travelling team with 11 points from 6 road games (rank 1 in away table). Lechia Gdansk's home form is mid-table (5th, 9 points from 5 home games), with 3 wins and 2 losses at their own ground.

Win Probability: Stal Rzeszow or Lechia Gdansk?

Stal Rzeszow has a 39% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Lechia Gdansk has a 36% chance. This calculation adjusts the base odds market by weighting recent form and home/away league performance. Stal Rzeszow's exceptional away form (top of the away standings) and current winning streak counteract Lechia Gdansk's home advantage. The draw probability reflects the narrow gap in points and the fact both teams are scoring regularly but also conceding.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the selected 1X2 market are available on the page, though specific numbers are not provided in this dataset. Based on the underlying stats โ€” Stal Rzeszow's 4-match winning run and their status as the best away team in the league โ€” they are narrowly the value pick. Lechia Gdansk have firepower at home, but their defence remains questionable. The Stal Rzeszow vs Lechia Gdansk prediction leans towards the away side to secure at least a point, with a 39% probability rating making them the most likely winner in a tight contest.

Stal Rzeszow vs Lechia Gdansk โ€” FAQ

Who will win Stal Rzeszow vs Lechia Gdansk?
Stal Rzeszow are narrowly favoured with a 39% win probability compared to 36% for Lechia Gdansk and a 25% chance of the match ending as a draw. The visitors' excellent away form and current winning streak give them a slight edge in this I Liga fixture.
What is the win probability for Stal Rzeszow?
Stal Rzeszow have a calculated 39% probability of winning this match. This is based on their strong recent form โ€” four wins in their last five outings โ€” and their position as the number one ranked team in the I Liga away standings.
When is the Stal Rzeszow vs Lechia Gdansk match?
The match is scheduled for Oct 12, 2026, with a 17:00 kick-off time. It is a league fixture in the I Liga competition in Poland.
What are the odds for the match?
Odds for the match are available on the odds provider's page, set against the 1X2 market. Bookmakers are expected to reflect the tight nature of this contest, with Stal Rzeszow likely marginal favourites based on their league-best away record this season.
Stal Rzeszow โ€“ Lechia Gdansk ยท match page