Lechia Zielona Gora - Legia Warszawa II prediction 10 October 2026

Lechia Zielona Gora vs Legia Warszawa II prediction for the II Liga match on Oct 10, 2026, at 17:00. Based on the stats, Lechia Zielona Gora is the favorite with a 40% win probability, while a draw stands at 32% and an away win at 28%.

Team Form

Lechia Zielona Gora’s last five matches: W, L, W, L, L. The two victories came on the road — a 3-1 at Sandecja Nowy Sacz and a 1-0 at Resovia Rzeszow. At home, however, they have suffered three straight defeats: 1-3 to Znicz Pruszkow, 1-4 to Swit Skolwin Szczecin, and a 0-2 cup loss to Ruch Chorzow, scoring only once in those three outings.

Legia Warszawa II come into this with a D, W, L, L, L run. A goalless draw at Slask Wroclaw II was followed by a 3-0 home win over Podhale Nowy Targ, but then they lost 4-1 at Gornik Leczna, 2-1 at home to Rekord Bielsko-Biala, and 4-1 at Zawisza Bydgoszcz. On the road, they have conceded eight goals in their last three away trips.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between Lechia Zielona Gora and Legia Warszawa II. This will be the first head-to-head encounter of the two sides.

League Table Positions

Lechia Zielona Gora sit 8th in the II Liga overall standings with 15 points from 10 matches (4 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, 20 goals scored, 16 conceded). They are among the best away sides — 4th in the away table with 9 points from 4 trips — but at home they lie outside the top 8, a sharp contrast that helps explain their recent home struggles. Legia Warszawa II do not appear in the top 12 of the overall table, suggesting a lower-table position. At home they have collected 9 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 2 losses, 15 goals for, 5 against), but away from home their form has been poor.

Win Probability: Lechia Zielona Gora or Legia Warszawa II?

We calculated outcome probabilities from the 1X2 odds (home 1.91, draw 2.45, away 3.40) and adjusted them for team form and league positions. Lechia Zielona Gora has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 32%, and Legia Warszawa II has a 28% chance. The odds already pointed to a home win, but Lechia’s three consecutive home defeats lower their probability, while Legia’s weak away record prevents a bigger swing. The draw remains a realistic outcome given both side’s defensive issues. Overall, Lechia is still the more likely winner, but the match is more open than the raw odds suggest.

Odds & Match Prediction

Representative pre-match odds are 1.91 for a Lechia Zielona Gora win, 2.45 for the draw, and 3.40 for a Legia Warszawa II victory. Bookmakers see Lechia as the favorite, but the draw is priced attractively because of the hosts’ poor home form. Based on the stats, the most probable single outcome is a Lechia win, yet a cautious betting tip would be a double chance on Lechia or draw. All numbers, dates, team names, and competition names are taken directly from the match JSON data.