Lechuzas UPGCH vs Tapachula FC II prediction for the Liga TDP match on October 2, 2026. Based on the latest odds and team form, Lechuzas UPGCH are the favorites with a 50% win probability, while Tapachula FC II have a 15% chance. The draw is at 35%.
Lechuzas UPGCH come into this match in excellent shape. Their last five results show four wins and one draw (W-W-W-D-W). In those matches, they scored 10 goals and conceded only 3. Notable victories include a 2-0 home win over Chapulineros de Oaxaca II and a 3-1 win against Deportivo Delfines de Coatzacoalcos. The only blemish was a 1-1 away draw at Ecatepec.
Tapachula FC II have also been in good form recently, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five (L-D-W-W-W). They scored 9 goals and conceded 7. Their loss came against Lechuzas UPGCH (2-3) in March 2026. Since then, they have beaten Academia Dragones (2-1), Pavones ADMC (2-1), and Alebrijes de Oaxaca II (3-2).
These two sides have met twice before, both times at Lechuzas UPGCH. The home team won the most recent encounter 3-2 on March 21, 2026. The earlier meeting, on March 29, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw. Lechuzas UPGCH remain unbeaten in this fixture with one win and one draw.
Lechuzas UPGCH have a 50% chance of winning this match. The draw probability is 35%, and Tapachula FC II have a 15% chance. These percentages are calculated from the bookmaker odds (1.91 home, 2.50 draw, 6.00 away), adjusted for the strong home form and the head-to-head advantage. Lechuzas UPGCH are clearly the more likely winners, but the draw is a significant possibility.
The 1X2 odds are: Lechuzas UPGCH win at 1.91, draw at 2.50, and Tapachula FC II win at 6.00. Bookmakers see the home side as the clear favorite. Based on the stats, Lechuzas UPGCH are expected to win, but a draw cannot be ruled out given Tapachula FC II's recent improvement. The most likely outcome is a home victory.