Legia Warszawa II - Podhale Nowy Targ prediction 19 September 2026

The Legia Warszawa II vs Podhale Nowy Targ prediction for September 19, 2026, points towards an away win for the in-form visitors. This II Liga clash kicks off at 10:00, and based on recent form and league standings, Podhale Nowy Targ enters the match as the favorite with a calculated win probability of 45%. Legia Warszawa II will need a significant turnaround in performance to get a result at home.

Team Form

Legia Warszawa II's recent form is a major concern heading into this fixture. They have lost four of their last five matches, with the only victory being a 6-1 home thrashing of Sokol Kleczew on August 23. Defeats against Gornik Leczna (4-1), Rekord Bielsko-Biala (1-2), Zawisza Bydgoszcz (4-1), and Hutnik Krakow (2-0) highlight serious defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 13 goals in these five games.

Podhale Nowy Targ, in stark contrast, is in excellent form. They are unbeaten in their last five outings, recording four wins and one draw. This run includes a dominant 5-0 home win against Stal Stalowa Wola and a 3-1 away victory at Olimpia Grudziadz. The team has scored 14 goals in these five matches, showing a potent attack that will likely trouble the Legia defense.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is limited to a single previous encounter. They met in the III Liga on June 11, 2025, where Podhale Nowy Targ hosted Legia Warszawa II. The match ended in a 1-1 draw, giving no clear historical advantage to either team but showing that Podhale managed to avoid defeat.

League Table Positions

The II Liga standings further underline the gap between the two teams. Podhale Nowy Targ sits in 7th place with 14 points from 8 matches, having scored 18 goals. Their away form is not reflected in the provided away standings, but their home record is strong, ranked 4th with 10 points from 5 games. Legia Warszawa II is not present in the top 12 of the overall league table, indicating a lower position and a difficult start to the season.

Win Probability: Legia Warszawa II or Podhale Nowy Targ?

After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities for this match are calculated as follows: Legia Warszawa II has a 30% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Podhale Nowy Targ has a 45% chance of winning. This calculation uses the average bookmaker odds as a base, which imply a very even contest, but adjusts significantly for the drastic difference in team form and league positions. Podhale Nowy Targ's four wins in five games give them a clear edge over a Legia side that has lost four of five. The conclusion is that Podhale Nowy Targ is more likely to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the 1X2 market are available from multiple sources. The odds range from 2.62 to 2.70 for a Legia Warszawa II win, 2.35 to 2.45 for the draw, and 2.30 to 2.62 for a Podhale Nowy Targ away win. The market sees this as a very tight contest with no clear favorite, but the best available odds slightly favor Podhale Nowy Targ. Based on the stats, particularly the contrasting form, the prediction is an away victory for Podhale Nowy Targ.