Pallo-Pojat Akatemia - LehPa prediction 17 September 2026

Our Pallo-Pojat Akatemia vs LehPa prediction for this Kolmonen match on Sep 17, 2026, gives LehPa a 45% chance of winning. The game kicks off at 17:00 at Pallo-Pojat Akatemia's home ground, with bookmakers pricing the visitors as favorites.

Team Form

Pallo-Pojat Akatemia come into this match in poor shape, with four defeats in their last five outings (L, L, W, L, L). Their only win in that run was a 2-1 home victory over SexyPoxyt on Aug 27. They lost 1-2 at LoPa Lohja on Sep 11, 1-3 at MPS Malmin Palloseura on Sep 04, 0-2 at home to Gilla FC on Aug 20, and 2-3 at Grifk Akatemia on Aug 16. Defensively, they have conceded at least two goals in four of those five matches.

LehPa, on the other hand, have been much more consistent. Their last five results read L, D, W, W, W, with three wins, one draw, and one loss. The loss came at home to Grifk Akatemia (0-1) on Sep 09. Before that, they drew 1-1 at EIF Akademi on Sep 03, beat MPS Malmin Palloseura 2-0 at home on Aug 26, won 1-0 at NuPS on Aug 21, and edged a 5-4 thriller at HooGee on Aug 13. This strong run shows they can score goals and grind out results away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once in recent history, back on Jun 10, 2026. In that Kolmonen fixture, LehPa ran out 3-1 winners at home. Pallo-Pojat Akatemia will be looking to avenge that defeat, but the head-to-head edge clearly lies with the visitors.

Win Probability: Pallo-Pojat Akatemia or LehPa?

Based on the available odds, team form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Pallo-Pojat Akatemia win: 25%
• Draw: 30%
• LehPa win: 45%

The odds imply a close contest, but LehPa’s superior recent form and their victory in the only H2H meeting tilt the balance in their favor. Home advantage for Pallo-Pojat Akatemia is factored in, but it is not enough to offset the visitors’ momentum. Therefore, LehPa are the more likely winners, with a 45% chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for the full-time result are as follows: a home win for Pallo-Pojat Akatemia is priced around 3.40–3.50, the draw at 2.62, and an away win for LehPa at 2.25–2.30. These odds reflect LehPa’s status as favorites.

Considering the stats, our prediction leans towards an away win. LehPa’s form and the head-to-head edge make them the value pick. However, the draw probability of 30% suggests a tight game, so a low-scoring affair could be on the cards. Based on the data, backing LehPa to win is the most logical betting tip.