Leicester City - Stevenage prediction 31 October 2026

The Stevenage vs Leicester City prediction for October 6, 2026, points to a tightly contested EFL Trophy fixture at the Lamex Stadium. Based on the latest odds and team form, the draw is the single most probable outcome at 35%, but Leicester City holds a marginal 33% win probability compared to Stevenage's 32%.

Team Form

Stevenage come into this match with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings. They thrashed Walsall 6-1 in the EFL Trophy and Barnsley 5-1 in League 1, showing explosive attacking form. A 0-0 draw at AFC Wimbledon and a 1-0 defeat at Leyton Orient are the only recent blemishes.

Leicester City's recent record is identical in terms of results: three wins, one draw, one loss. They demolished Fulham U21 6-1 in this competition and edged Stockport County 4-3, but suffered a heavy 0-4 home loss to Oxford United. A 1-1 draw at Barnsley and a 2-0 win over Plymouth Argyle complete the picture.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Stevenage and Leicester City. This will be the first official meeting between the two sides, making historical comparisons impossible.

League Table Positions

Both clubs compete in League 1, but current league table positions are not available in the data. The similar level of competition suggests a balanced contest, with neither side holding a clear divisional advantage.

Win Probability: Stevenage or Leicester City?

Stevenage has a 32% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Leicester City has a 33% chance. These probabilities are derived from bookmaker odds (inverse of average odds normalized to remove the margin), then adjusted for recent form and home advantage. Both teams show identical recent form records, but Leicester's slightly shorter average odds to win tip the scale in their favour. However, the draw remains the most likely single outcome, reflecting how evenly matched these sides are.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer a range of 1X2 odds. The average odds across five bookies are: Stevenage win at 2.63, draw at 2.07, Leicester City win at 2.33. The draw is priced as the most probable result by the market. Based on the stats, a draw is the safest prediction, but Leicester City's away win cannot be ruled out. Our final match prediction: a score draw, with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet given their recent goal-scoring form.