Pachern - Leoben prediction 13 October 2026

The Pachern vs Leoben prediction for the Landesliga match on October 13, 2026, at 18:00 points to a clear home favorite. Based on the latest odds and team form, Pachern has a 62% chance of winning, while Leoben's probability sits at just 15%, with a 23% chance of a draw.

Team Form

Pachern enters this match in strong shape, unbeaten in their last five outings with three wins and two draws. Their recent results include a 2-0 home victory over Kindberg-Murzhofen on Sep 18, a 2-1 away win at Ilzer SV on Sep 15, and a 1-0 home success against Lebring on Sep 11. The two draws came on the road, 0-0 at FC Schladming on Oct 9 and 1-1 at UFC Fehring on Sep 25.

Leoben, in contrast, is on a dreadful run of five consecutive defeats. They were beaten 5-2 at home by Bad Waltersdorf on Oct 9, lost 3-2 at Grossklein on Oct 3, and fell 2-1 at home to SC Stadtwerke Bruck/Mur on Sep 25. A 6-0 thrashing at ASK Koflach on Sep 20 and a 6-0 cup loss to Voitsberg on Jul 24 complete the miserable streak.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met twice in the Landesliga, with the head-to-head record perfectly balanced at one home win apiece and no draws. The most recent clash on Apr 24, 2026, saw Leoben win 3-2 at home. However, the previous encounter on Sep 19, 2025, ended in a dominant 4-0 home victory for Pachern.

League Table Positions

Neither Pachern nor Leoben appear in the provided league standings, suggesting they are not among the current top 12 teams in the Landesliga. The table is led by Mattersburg with 66 points from 29 games, followed by SV Leithaprodersdorf on 55 points.

Win Probability: Pachern or Leoben?

We calculate the win probabilities using the inverse of the best available odds, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. The best home odds for Pachern are 1.25, the draw is 2.80, and the away win for Leoben is 7.50. After adjusting for the margin, the probabilities are: Pachern win: 62%, Draw: 23%, Leoben win: 15%. Pachern's excellent recent form (three wins, two draws) and Leoben's five-match losing streak heavily reinforce these figures. Home advantage and the 4-0 H2H win in the last meeting at this venue further support Pachern as the overwhelming favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Pachern as the strong favorite, with odds as short as 1.25 for a home win. The draw is priced around 2.80 to 6.00, while a Leoben victory can be backed at 5.50 to 7.50. Based on the stats, the Pachern vs Leoben prediction is a comfortable home win. The form gap is massive, and Leoben's defensive frailties—conceding 22 goals in their last five matches—make a Pachern victory the most likely outcome.