JK Narva Trans - Levadia Tallinn prediction 20 September 2026

The JK Narva Trans vs Levadia Tallinn prediction for this Meistriliiga match on Sep 20, 2026, at 14:00 points firmly towards an away victory. Levadia Tallinn enters the contest as the overwhelming favorite, with our calculated win probability exceeding 80%, while JK Narva Trans faces a monumental task to get a result.

Team Form

JK Narva Trans is struggling badly. Their last five matches across all competitions show a form line of L, D, L, L, W. In the Meistriliiga, they have lost four of their last five, including a 2-0 defeat to JK Nomme Kalju on Sep 12 and a 3-1 loss at Kuressaare on Sep 05. The only bright spot was a cup win against JK Nomme Kalju on Aug 26.

Levadia Tallinn is in imperious form, boasting a perfect five-match winning streak: W, W, W, W, W. They have been dominant, scoring 17 goals in these five games and conceding just 3. Recent league results include a 4-0 thrashing of Parnu JK Vaprus and a 4-0 win over Kuressaare, showcasing their firepower and defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is heavily skewed in Levadia Tallinn's favor. In 58 previous meetings, Levadia Tallinn has won 41, JK Narva Trans has won just 2, and 15 matches have ended in a draw. The last three Meistriliiga encounters have been particularly one-sided: Levadia Tallinn won 4-0 on Aug 21, 2026, 3-1 on Jul 04, 2026, and a crushing 7-0 on Apr 26, 2026. JK Narva Trans has not beaten Levadia Tallinn in any of the recent H2H matches listed.

League Table Positions

The standings reflect the gulf in class. Levadia Tallinn sits 1st in the Meistriliiga with 68 points from 27 matches, having lost just once all season. They have scored 74 goals and conceded only 20. JK Narva Trans is 10th, bottom of the table, with only 18 points from 28 games. They have managed just 5 wins and have a goal difference of -43. Levadia Tallinn also has the best away record in the league, remaining unbeaten with 12 wins and 2 draws from 14 matches on the road.

Win Probability: JK Narva Trans or Levadia Tallinn?

Based on the available data, including odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• JK Narva Trans win: 8%
• Draw: 12%
• Levadia Tallinn win: 80%

The base calculation starts with the inverse of the best available odds (home 15.00, draw 3.40, away 1.30), which is then normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. Levadia Tallinn's flawless recent form, perfect away record, and a 41-2 head-to-head advantage massively reinforce the probability of an away win. JK Narva Trans's poor form and bottom-place standing leave them with very little statistical chance of causing an upset.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Levadia Tallinn as the clear favorite. The best available odds show an away win at 1.30, a draw at 3.40, and a home win for JK Narva Trans as high as 15.00. These odds align perfectly with the statistical analysis. Based on the stats, Levadia Tallinn is expected to dominate possession and create numerous scoring chances. Our prediction is a comfortable away win for Levadia Tallinn.