Levadia Tallinn - Paide Linnameeskond prediction 11 October 2026

The Levadia Tallinn vs Paide Linnameeskond prediction points to a home win in this Meistriliiga clash on October 11, 2026, at 12:30 local time. Based on bookmaker odds, recent team form, head-to-head records, and league standings, Levadia Tallinn is the clear favorite with a 62% chance of winning. The draw probability is 25%, while Paide Linnameeskond’s chance stands at 13%.

Team Form

Levadia Tallinn comes into this match in dominant form. Their last five results across all competitions are W, D, W, W, W. At home, they recently demolished Keila 10–0 in the Cup, beat Tammeka Tartu 6–0, Parnu JK Vaprus 4–0, and Kuressaare 4–0, with only a 1–1 away draw at JK Narva Trans breaking the winning streak. They have scored 25 goals in those five matches and conceded just one, showcasing both attacking firepower and defensive solidity.

Paide Linnameeskond’s recent form is more mixed: W, W, L, W, L. Away from home, they won 3–1 at Nomme United and 2–0 at Tammeka Tartu, but suffered a 2–1 loss at Harju JK Laagri and a 2–0 defeat against Levadia Tallinn. Inconsistency on the road remains a concern, especially against the league’s top side.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Levadia Tallinn dominates this fixture with 29 wins, 12 draws, and only 9 losses against Paide Linnameeskond. The last five meetings tell a similar story: Levadia won three times (0–2, 4–1, 1–3), there was one 2–2 draw, and Paide managed a single home win (1–2) back in October 2025. The most recent encounter, on September 6, 2026, ended 0–2 in Levadia’s favor.

League Table Positions

Levadia Tallinn sits at the top of the Meistriliiga with 72 points from 29 matches (22 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 81 goals and conceded only 21. At home, they are even more formidable: 10 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss, with 46 goals scored and just 7 conceded in 14 games. Paide Linnameeskond is third with 51 points (15 wins, 6 draws, 8 losses). Their away record is 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses in 15 matches. A 21-point gap separates the two sides, underlining Levadia’s superiority this season.

Win Probability: Levadia Tallinn or Paide Linnameeskond?

Levadia Tallinn has a 62% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Paide Linnameeskond has a 13% chance. These probabilities are based on the inverse of the averaged bookmaker odds (normalized to remove the margin) and then adjusted upward for Levadia because of their excellent recent form, strong home record, and dominant head-to-head results. The data leaves little doubt that Levadia Tallinn is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers across the board see Levadia Tallinn as the favourite. Home win odds range from 1.36 to 1.45, the draw is offered between 2.42 and 3.63, and an away win for Paide Linnameeskond sits between 4.75 and 6.56. These prices reflect the gulf in class between the two sides. Based on the stats, Levadia Tallinn is the most probable winner; a home win bet looks the safest option, while the draw could be a value play only if Paide’s defence holds up unexpectedly.