Levadia Tallinn - Tammeka Tartu prediction 27 October 2026

Our Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka Tartu prediction is here for this Meistriliiga match on Oct 27 at 16:00. Based on our win probability model, Levadia Tallinn are heavy favorites with an 84% chance of winning, while Tammeka Tartu hold just a 5% likelihood. The match takes place at A. Le Coq Arena in Tallinn, where the home side's dominant form makes them the clear pick.

Team Form

Levadia Tallinn are in imperious form, winning their last five matches across all competitions. In Meistriliiga, they beat Harju JK Laagri 2-1, Kuressaare 2-0, Flora Tallinn 3-1, and Paide Linnameeskond 1-0. They also thrashed Keila 10-0 in the Cup. This run of 'W,W,W,W,W' shows a team scoring freely and conceding very little.

Tammeka Tartu have a 'W,L,L,W,W' pattern from their last five games. They won 5-1 at home to JK Narva Trans and 4-0 against Nomme United, but lost 2-0 at Flora Tallinn and 2-1 at Paide Linnameeskond. Their Cup form was strong with a 4-1 win over Viimsi MRJK, though their away league losses highlight a vulnerability on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is heavily one-sided. Of 53 previous meetings, Levadia Tallinn have won 38, Tammeka Tartu have won just 4, and there have been 11 draws. The most recent clash on Sep 17, 2026, saw Levadia Tallinn demolish Tammeka Tartu 6-0 at home. Earlier in 2026, they won 1-0 at home and 2-1 away, plus a 4-2 friendly win in February. The last five meetings all went Levadia's way.

League Table Positions

Levadia Tallinn sit top of the Meistriliiga with 84 points from 33 matches (26 wins, 6 draws, 1 defeat), boasting a goal difference of +66 (89 scored, 23 conceded). Tammeka Tartu are 5th with 50 points (16 wins, 2 draws, 15 defeats) and a -5 goal difference. At home, Levadia have 39 points from 16 games (49 goals for, 8 against), while Tammeka's away record stands at 7 wins and 9 losses from 17 trips, with 21 scored and 34 conceded.

Win Probability: Levadia Tallinn or Tammeka Tartu?

Levadia Tallinn has a 84% chance of winning, the draw is at 11%, and Tammeka Tartu has a 5% chance. These percentages are calculated by taking the inverse of the average bookmaker odds (home 1.20, draw 3.38, away 7.86), normalizing to remove the margin, and then adjusting for Levadia's perfect five-match win streak, their 38-4 head-to-head advantage, and their formidable home form (12 wins in 16). The 34-point gap in the league table further cements Levadia Tallinn as the overwhelming favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced Levadia Tallinn as short as 1.16 and no longer than 1.25 for the home win. The draw is available around 7.25, with Tammeka Tartu as high as 11.00 to win. These odds reflect the massive gulf in class between the teams. Based on the stats, Levadia Tallinn should secure a comfortable victory, with a clean sheet a strong possibility given their home defensive record of just 8 goals conceded in 16 matches.