Levante UD Women - Alhama CF Women prediction 30 September 2026

The Levante UD Women vs Alhama CF Women prediction points to a tight Spanish Cup Women clash on September 30, 2026, at 17:00. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, Alhama CF Women enter as slight favorites with a 45% win probability, while Levante UD Women have a 30% chance and the draw stands at 25%.

Team Form

Levante UD Women’s last five matches show four wins and one loss (W, W, L, W, W). That sole defeat came against Alhama CF Women on September 13, a heavy 4-0 away loss. At home, Levante have been strong, beating CF Extremadura Women 2-1 and Cacereno Women 3-0 in their most recent outings.

Alhama CF Women are in flawless form with five consecutive victories (W, W, W, W, W). They have scored 13 goals and conceded just 1 across those games, including a 4-0 demolition of Levante UD Women. Their away performances have been equally dominant, with a 1-0 win at Real Madrid B Women highlighting their defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record spans four meetings: Levante UD Women have 0 wins, Alhama CF Women 1 win, and 3 draws. The most recent encounter, on September 13, 2026, ended Alhama CF Women 4-0 Levante UD Women. The three earlier matches all finished level, including a 3-3 cup tie in January 2023. This history suggests Alhama hold a psychological edge, especially after the latest dominant display.

League Table Positions

No league table data is available for this cup competition. Both teams compete in the Primera Federacion Women, but their current standings are not provided in the match data.

Win Probability: Levante UD Women or Alhama CF Women?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Levante UD Women 30%, draw 25%, Alhama CF Women 45%. These figures are derived from the average bookmaker odds (normalized to remove the margin) and then adjusted for team form and head-to-head results. The raw odds implied a balanced contest, but Alhama’s perfect five-match winning streak and their 4-0 victory over Levante just two weeks ago significantly boost their chances. Levante’s home advantage and solid recent home form keep them in contention, while the high number of draws in past meetings (3 out of 4) keeps the draw probability at a notable 25%.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds: one set shows Levante win at 3.00, draw at 2.25, Alhama win at 3.00; another lists 2.42 for a Levante win, 3.35 for the draw, and 2.42 for an Alhama win. The market sees this as an even matchup, but the stats tilt the prediction toward Alhama CF Women. Our betting tips suggest the away win offers value, though the draw cannot be discounted given the H2H history. Based on all available data, Alhama CF Women are the more likely winners, but a low-scoring draw remains a strong possibility.