FC Arda Kardzhali - Levski Sofia prediction 27 October 2026

This FC Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia prediction focuses on the 1st League match set for October 27 at 17:30 at the Arena Arda. Based on the latest stats and betting odds, Levski Sofia enters the match as the clear favorite with an estimated 68% win probability, leaving FC Arda Kardzhali with a difficult task at home.

Team Form

FC Arda Kardzhali's recent form has been inconsistent. Their last five results in all competitions stand as W, L, L, D, L. A notable highlight was a 2–1 away victory against Spartak Plovdiv in the Cup on Oct 18, but heavy defeats to Ludogorets Razgrad (5–0) and CSKA Sofia (4–1) exposed defensive vulnerabilities. At home in the league, they have collected 10 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), scoring 9 and conceding 5.

Levski Sofia, in contrast, is in excellent shape. Their last five results are W, W, D, W, D, including impressive away wins against Viktoria Plzen (2–1) in the UEFA Europa League and Cherno More Varna (2–0) in the domestic league. They remain unbeaten in the 1st League, sitting top of the table with 28 points from 10 matches, and their away record is formidable with 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 9 and conceding only 3.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Levski Sofia. In the last 20 meetings across all competitions, Levski has won 13, while FC Arda Kardzhali has won just 2, with 5 draws. Recent matches show a clear pattern: Levski won the last encounter 1–0 on April 9, 2026, and secured dominant 3–0 victories on November 2, 2025, and May 14, 2025. FC Arda Kardzhali has managed just two draws in the last five clashes, failing to score in three of those games.

League Table Positions

The standings reflect a significant gap between the two sides. Levski Sofia dominates the 1st League in 1st place with 28 points from 10 matches (9 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses) and a goal difference of +19 (23 scored, 4 conceded). FC Arda Kardzhali sits 6th with 17 points from 11 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses) and a -2 goal difference (15 scored, 17 conceded). The 11-point gap underscores Levski's superiority this season.

Win Probability: FC Arda Kardzhali or Levski Sofia?

After analyzing the available odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the following win probabilities: FC Arda Kardzhali has an 18% chance of winning, the draw is at 14%, and Levski Sofia has a 68% chance of winning. This assessment takes the bookmakers' average odds as a base (inverse of implied probability, normalized to remove the margin) and adjusts them due to Levski's perfect away record, league-leading defense, and overwhelming H2H dominance where they have won 13 of the last 20 meetings. FC Arda Kardzhali's recent home form offers some hope, but the quality gap appears too wide to overcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers overwhelmingly see Levski Sofia as the favorite. The available 1X2 odds range from a home win for FC Arda Kardzhali at 4.50 to 5.55, a draw around 2.08 to 3.50, and an away win for Levski Sofia between 1.76 and 2.30. These odds align with the calculated probabilities, making a Levski win the most likely outcome. Based on the stats, the prediction is an away victory for Levski Sofia.